ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

APO // Apollo Global Management Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001858681 ↗
Financials • Investment Managers
$115.84 ▼ -2.72 (-2.29%)
MKT CAP: $70.01B • VOL: 5.28M
APO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +179.3% vs NI -24.2% • ROIC-WACC -6.4% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 35% • VS 200D -3.7% • RSI 53.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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APO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.33%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $113.5H $118.6L $113.5C $115.8VOL 3.33M
RES: $148.1SUP: $109.1SMA50: $121.7SMA200: $123.2
$146.7$136.8$126.8$116.8$106.8RES $148.1SUP $109.1$115.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
APO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 2.3% return on invested capital within Financials (Investment Managers), balanced against a 35.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 12.9% operating margin and 2.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +22.7% paired with 8.29% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +22.7% // FCF YLD: 8.29%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.6x trailing P/E (17.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.6x // EV/EBITDA: 35.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $115.84 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Investment Managers require continuous execution to defend 10.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.98).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.6x
FORWARD P/E 17.3x
EV / EBITDA 35.5x
FCF YIELD 8.29%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 12.9%
NET MARGIN 10.6%
ROIC % 2.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +22.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.75
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.72%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.98
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // APOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $106.00
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>