ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

APG // APi Group Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001796209 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Diversified Commercial Services
$44.34 ▼ -0.68 (-1.51%)
MKT CAP: $19.46B • VOL: 4.00M
APG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +23.7% vs NI +20.8% • ROIC-WACC +0.4% • Z 3.43
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 67% • VS 200D +7.3% • RSI 72.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did APG's Macro Regime Fit & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever APG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

APG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $41.34H $45.02L $41.34C $44.34VOL 4.74M
RES: $45.15SUP: $33.21SMA50: $39.78SMA200: $41.97
$47.56$44.31$41.06$37.81$34.56RES $45.15SUP $33.21$44.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
APG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

APi Group Corporation (APG) exhibits 31.4% gross margins and 8.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 33.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.4% gross profitability converts into 7.0% operating margin and 8.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.3% // GM: 31.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +12.7% paired with 3.41% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +12.7% // FCF YLD: 3.41%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.43 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.43 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 64.4x trailing P/E (54.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 64.4x // EV/EBITDA: 33.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $44.34 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend 3.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.8% // D/E: 0.81x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 54.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 64.4x
FORWARD P/E 54.1x
EV / EBITDA 33.5x
FCF YIELD 3.41%
GROSS MARGIN 31.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.0%
NET MARGIN 3.8%
ROIC % 8.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +12.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.70
DEBT / EQUITY 0.81x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 72.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // APGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $40.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for APG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>