ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

APD // Air Products and Chemicals Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000002969 ↗
Materials • Major Chemicals
$316.43 ▲ +4.68 (+1.50%)
MKT CAP: $69.42B • VOL: 1.30M
APD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 40/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
40 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -110.3% vs NI -110.3% • ROIC-WACC -11.2% • Z 2.65
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
17 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 94% • VS 200D +7.3% • RSI 67
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.28
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did APD's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever APD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

APD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $307.2H $316.4L $307.2C $316.4VOL 1.28M
RES: $316.7SUP: $257.5SMA50: $294.5SMA200: $290.5
$320.1$305.8$291.5$277.2$262.8RES $316.7SUP $257.5$316.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
APD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 36/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Air Products and Chemicals Inc. (APD) exhibits 31.4% gross margins and -2.9% return on invested capital within Materials (Major Chemicals), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.4% gross profitability converts into -7.3% operating margin and -2.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -2.9% // GM: 31.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.5% paired with -10.76% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.5% // FCF YLD: -10.76%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.65 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.65 // F-SCORE: 2/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (36.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $316.43 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Chemicals require continuous execution to defend -3.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -3.3% // D/E: 0.64x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 36.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -10.76%
GROSS MARGIN 31.4%
OPERATING MARGIN -7.3%
NET MARGIN -3.3%
ROIC % -2.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.77
DEBT / EQUITY 0.64x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.28%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // APDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $289.54
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>