ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ALHC // Alignment Healthcare Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001832466 ↗
Health Care • Medical Specialities
$7.27 ▼ -0.79 (-9.80%)
MKT CAP: $1.52B • VOL: 13.82M
ALHC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 56/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
56 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +200% vs NI +99.4% • ROIC-WACC +7.1% • Z 4
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +6.8% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.03
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did ALHC's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ALHC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ALHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -62.25%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $8.06H $8.06L $7.27C $7.27VOL 13.82M
RES: $7.29SUP: $3.12SMA50: $9.65SMA200: $16.66
$26.46$20.92$15.37$9.83$4.29RES $7.29SUP $3.12$7.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
ALHC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 71/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Alignment Healthcare Inc. (ALHC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.9% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical Specialities), balanced against a 37.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 0.4% operating margin and 13.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +46.1% paired with 6.77% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +46.1% // FCF YLD: 6.77%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.00 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 37.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $7.27 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical Specialities require continuous execution to defend 0.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.0% // D/E: 1.80x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 37.8x
FCF YIELD 6.77%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 0.4%
NET MARGIN 0.0%
ROIC % 13.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +46.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.80x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALHCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.65
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>