ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AGNC // AGNC Investment Corp.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001423689 ↗
Financials • Real Estate Investment Trusts
$8.69 ▲ +0.04 (+0.46%)
MKT CAP: $11.02B • VOL: 23.10M
AGNC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 54/100 [D+] (-2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
52 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI +93.5% • ROIC-WACC -5.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +4.9% • P/E 5.4x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.35 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.33
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did AGNC's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever AGNC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

AGNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.40%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $8.83H $8.83L $8.65C $8.69VOL 23.61M
RES: $12.40SUP: $8.08SMA50: $9.46SMA200: $10.45
$11.66$10.77$9.88$8.99$8.10RES $12.40SUP $8.08$8.692026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
AGNC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 2.9% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate Investment Trusts), balanced against a 24.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 68.6% operating margin and 2.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +22.0% paired with 4.89% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +22.0% // FCF YLD: 4.89%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 6.4x trailing P/E (5.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 6.4x // EV/EBITDA: 24.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $8.69 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate Investment Trusts require continuous execution to defend 56.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 56.2% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 5.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.99).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 6.4x
FORWARD P/E 5.4x
EV / EBITDA 24.8x
FCF YIELD 4.89%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 68.6%
NET MARGIN 56.2%
ROIC % 2.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +22.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.41
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 11.50%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.99
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AGNCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $7.95
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>