ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ADV // Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001776661 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$30.23 ▼ -0.13 (-0.43%)
MKT CAP: $389.3M • VOL: 58.2K
ADV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D (RQD 44) -> D- (RQD 37)
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
37 / 100 -7D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 51% • VS 200D +0.2% • RSI 52.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF YIELD +14.1% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.13
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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ADV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.47%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $28.75H $30.36L $28.75C $30.23VOL 80.1K
RES: $31.06SUP: $27.75SMA50: $30.95SMA200: $30.29
$49.23$41.87$34.51$27.15$19.80RES $31.06SUP $27.75$30.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
ADV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -5.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -3.6% operating margin and -5.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -5.1% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.7% paired with 14.14% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.7% // FCF YLD: 14.14%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $30.23 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend -6.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -6.4% // D/E: 3.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 14.14%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -3.6%
NET MARGIN -6.4%
ROIC % -5.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 3.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ADVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $27.66
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>