ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ADP // Automatic Data Processing Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000008670 ↗
Technology • EDP Services
$293.84 ▲ +7.76 (+2.71%)
MKT CAP: $113.36B • VOL: 3.61M
ADP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +21.9% vs NI +8.7% • ROIC-WACC +34.2% • Z 1.77
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 81% • VS 200D +18.9% • RSI 52.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.03 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.14
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did ADP's Forensic 10-K Risk & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ADP is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ADP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.05%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $285.4H $293.8L $285.4C $293.8VOL 2.24M
RES: $312.7SUP: $249.9SMA50: $277.4SMA200: $240.6
$316.7$286.3$255.9$225.5$195.1RES $312.7SUP $249.9$293.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ADP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 73/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) exhibits 46.0% gross margins and 43.4% return on invested capital within Technology (EDP Services), balanced against a 19.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 46.0% gross profitability converts into 24.2% operating margin and 43.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 43.4% // GM: 46.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.1% paired with 3.54% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.1% // FCF YLD: 3.54%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.77 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.77 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 27.8x trailing P/E (25.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 27.8x // EV/EBITDA: 19.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $293.84 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in EDP Services require continuous execution to defend 19.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 19.8% // D/E: 0.62x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 25.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.35).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 27.8x
FORWARD P/E 25.9x
EV / EBITDA 19.9x
FCF YIELD 3.54%
GROSS MARGIN 46.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 24.2%
NET MARGIN 19.8%
ROIC % 43.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $10.30
DEBT / EQUITY 0.62x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.12%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.35
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ADPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $268.87
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>