ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ACLS // Axcelis Technologies Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001113232 ↗
Technology • Industrial Machinery/Components
$100.07 ▼ -11.95 (-10.67%)
MKT CAP: $3.46B • VOL: 524.5K
ACLS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 67) -> D+ (RQD 56)
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
56 / 100 -11D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF -16.8% vs NI -40.2% • ROIC-WACC +2% • Z 8.43
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.33
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ACLS's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ACLS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ACLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.46%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $113.7H $113.7L $100.1C $100.1VOL 284.8K
RES: $152.7SUP: $93.79SMA50: $118.2SMA200: $123.2
$201.1$170.8$140.4$110.1$79.80RES $152.7SUP $93.79$100.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
ACLS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 37/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) exhibits 44.9% gross margins and 10.6% return on invested capital within Technology (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 25.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 44.9% gross profitability converts into 14.2% operating margin and 10.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.6% // GM: 44.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -17.6% paired with 3.09% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -17.6% // FCF YLD: 3.09%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.43 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.43 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 28.8x trailing P/E (26.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 28.8x // EV/EBITDA: 25.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $100.07 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 14.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 26.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 28.8x
FORWARD P/E 26.8x
EV / EBITDA 25.7x
FCF YIELD 3.09%
GROSS MARGIN 44.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 14.2%
NET MARGIN 14.3%
ROIC % 10.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -17.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.89
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ACLSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $91.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ACLS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>