COMP <GO>
CHDN vs MSGK // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ) VS. MSG Knickerbockers Corp. (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: CHDN 8
— MSGK 5
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $94.83 (+4.03%) • MKT CAP: $6.25B
options-implied-move
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LAST: $312.90 (+0.88%) • MKT CAP: $7.48B
options-implied-move
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15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (CHDN VS. MSGK)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | CHDN | MSGK | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.20% | 9.90% | -0.70 | MSGK | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 14.0x | 21.0x | -7.00 | CHDN | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 4.88% | 2.21% | +2.67 | CHDN | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 23.40% | 13.90% | +9.50 | CHDN | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 13.10% | 10.90% | +2.20 | CHDN | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.00% | 5.50% | +1.50 | CHDN | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.49% | 0.00% | +0.49 | CHDN | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.42 | 3.74 | -2.32 | MSGK | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 8/9 | -2.00 | MSGK | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 63.9 | 55.6 | +8.30 | CHDN | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.93 | 1.14 | -0.21 | MSGK | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 15.2x | 30.5x | -15.30 | CHDN | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $6.25B | $7.48B | -$1.23B | MSGK | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | CHDN REV | MSGK REV | CHDN GROSS % | MSGK GROSS % | CHDN FCF | MSGK FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.93B | — | — | — | — | — |
| FY 2024 | $2.73B | — | — | — | — | — |
| FY 2023 | $2.46B | — | — | — | — | — |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
CHDN // BETA 0.93
MSGK // BETA 1.14