ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TTD // The Trade Desk Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001671933 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$12.29 ▼ -0.77 (-5.90%)
MKT CAP: $6.17B • VOL: 16.41M
TTD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +24.1% vs NI +12.8% • ROIC-WACC +5% • Z 2.05
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +12.9% • P/E 11.7x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.03 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.25
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did TTD's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TTD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TTD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.76H $13.06L $12.29C $12.29VOL 15.30M
RES: $13.92SUP: $11.07SMA50: $13.09SMA200: $19.84
$43.39$34.78$26.17$17.56$8.95RES $13.92SUP $11.07$12.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TTD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 58/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) exhibits 78.6% gross margins and 13.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 9.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 78.6% gross profitability converts into 20.3% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.8% // GM: 78.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.5% paired with 12.89% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.5% // FCF YLD: 12.89%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.05 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.05 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 13.9x trailing P/E (11.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 13.9x // EV/EBITDA: 9.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.29 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend 15.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.3% // D/E: 0.62x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.22).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 13.9x
FORWARD P/E 11.7x
EV / EBITDA 9.3x
FCF YIELD 12.89%
GROSS MARGIN 78.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 20.3%
NET MARGIN 15.3%
ROIC % 13.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.94
DEBT / EQUITY 0.62x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.22
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TTDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>