ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TROW // T. Rowe Price Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001113169 ↗
Financials • Investment Managers
$103.90 ▼ -2.73 (-2.56%)
MKT CAP: $22.75B • VOL: 3.55M
TROW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +17.2% vs NI -0.6% • ROIC-WACC +12.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 58% • VS 200D +2.8% • RSI 57.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.5% • P/E 10.1x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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TROW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.80%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $104.0H $106.6L $103.9C $103.9VOL 2.23M
RES: $106.9SUP: $96.90SMA50: $105.4SMA200: $103.7
$124.0$115.7$107.4$99.03$90.71RES $106.9SUP $96.90$103.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TROW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 20.5% return on invested capital within Financials (Investment Managers), balanced against a 8.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 29.9% operating margin and 20.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 20.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.1% paired with 6.50% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.1% // FCF YLD: 6.50%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.9x trailing P/E (10.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.9x // EV/EBITDA: 8.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $103.90 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Investment Managers require continuous execution to defend 28.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 28.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.90).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.9x
FORWARD P/E 10.1x
EV / EBITDA 8.4x
FCF YIELD 6.50%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 29.9%
NET MARGIN 28.5%
ROIC % 20.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.78
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 5.03%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.90
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TROWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $95.07
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>