ROARABLE // PRO
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TEL // TE Connectivity plc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001385157 ↗
Technology • Electronic Components
$213.03 ▼ -9.73 (-4.37%)
MKT CAP: $64.49B • VOL: 1.95M
TEL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 74/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +14.5% vs NI -42.3% • ROIC-WACC +5.7% • Z 5.16
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 52% • VS 200D +4.8% • RSI 57.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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TEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.78%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $221.2H $222.8L $213.0C $213.0VOL 1.95M
RES: $230.6SUP: $206.2SMA50: $211.8SMA200: $212.6
$232.8$221.3$209.7$198.2$186.7RES $230.6SUP $206.2$213.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TEL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 54/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

TE Connectivity plc (TEL) exhibits 35.2% gross margins and 15.2% return on invested capital within Technology (Electronic Components), balanced against a 17.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 35.2% gross profitability converts into 18.6% operating margin and 15.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.2% // GM: 35.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.9% paired with 4.97% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.9% // FCF YLD: 4.97%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.16 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.16 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 35.0x trailing P/E (32.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 35.0x // EV/EBITDA: 17.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $213.03 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electronic Components require continuous execution to defend 10.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.7% // D/E: 0.37x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 32.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.23).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 35.0x
FORWARD P/E 32.6x
EV / EBITDA 17.0x
FCF YIELD 4.97%
GROSS MARGIN 35.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 18.6%
NET MARGIN 10.7%
ROIC % 15.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.36
DEBT / EQUITY 0.37x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.25%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.23
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TELPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $194.93
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>