ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SMWB // Similarweb Ltd.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001842731 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$8.74 ▼ -0.24 (-2.67%)
MKT CAP: $804.9M • VOL: 453.6K
SMWB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 45/100 [D] (+1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -54.2% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -43.6% • Z 0.47
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 93% • VS 200D +62.4% • RSI 56.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.27
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did SMWB's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SMWB is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SMWB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +189.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $9.10H $9.10L $8.74C $8.74VOL 242.9K
RES: $9.23SUP: $8.00SMA50: $8.53SMA200: $5.53
$9.98$7.99$5.99$4.00$2.00RES $9.23SUP $8.00$8.742026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
SMWB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB) exhibits 79.5% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 79.5% gross profitability converts into -8.3% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 79.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +13.1% paired with 1.63% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +13.1% // FCF YLD: 1.63%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.47 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.47 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $8.74 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend -11.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -11.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 1.63%
GROSS MARGIN 79.5%
OPERATING MARGIN -8.3%
NET MARGIN -11.7%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +13.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 56.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SMWBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.00
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>