ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ODFL // Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000878927 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$172.56 ▲ +0.21 (+0.12%)
MKT CAP: $35.74B • VOL: 2.61M
ODFL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF -17.4% vs NI -13.7% • ROIC-WACC +16.1% • Z 22.23
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.33
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ODFL's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ODFL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ODFL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $173.3H $173.3L $172.4C $172.6VOL 3.45M
RES: $188.8SUP: $165.0SMA50: $182.3SMA200: $201.7
$258.1$233.0$207.9$182.8$157.8RES $188.8SUP $165.0$172.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ODFL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 62/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 25.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 20.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 13.6% operating margin and 25.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 25.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +11.0% paired with 2.57% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +11.0% // FCF YLD: 2.57%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 22.23 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 22.23 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 34.9x trailing P/E (32.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 34.9x // EV/EBITDA: 20.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $172.56 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend 10.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.2% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 32.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.89).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 34.9x
FORWARD P/E 32.5x
EV / EBITDA 20.4x
FCF YIELD 2.57%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 13.6%
NET MARGIN 10.2%
ROIC % 25.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +11.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.94
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.66%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.89
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ODFLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $157.90
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ODFL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>