ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NSC // Norfolk Southern Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000702165 ↗
Industrials • Railroads
$342.64 ▲ +0.45 (+0.13%)
MKT CAP: $76.86B • VOL: 641.9K
NSC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +29.1% vs NI +9.6% • ROIC-WACC +5.3% • Z 2.53
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +2.8% • P/E 24.9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.36
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
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SIGNAL

Why did NSC's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever NSC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

NSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.94%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $338.1H $342.6L $338.1C $342.6VOL 434.0K
RES: $347.3SUP: $290.9SMA50: $326.0SMA200: $315.6
$363.3$343.8$324.2$304.7$285.2RES $347.3SUP $290.9$342.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
NSC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Railroads), balanced against a 14.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 35.8% operating margin and 13.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.5% paired with 2.81% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.5% // FCF YLD: 2.81%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.53 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.53 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.8x trailing P/E (24.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.8x // EV/EBITDA: 14.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $342.64 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Railroads require continuous execution to defend 23.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 23.6% // D/E: 0.80x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.96).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.8x
FORWARD P/E 24.9x
EV / EBITDA 14.1x
FCF YIELD 2.81%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 35.8%
NET MARGIN 23.6%
ROIC % 13.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $12.79
DEBT / EQUITY 0.80x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.58%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 66.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.96
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NSCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $313.53
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NSC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>