ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NIQ // NIQ Global Intelligence plc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002054696 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$19.83 ▼ -0.54 (-2.65%)
MKT CAP: $6.01B • VOL: 1.03M
NIQ // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // D- (RQD 38) -> D (RQD 49)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
49 / 100 +11D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI +55.7% • ROIC-WACC -4.5% • Z 0.86
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
17 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 98% • VS 200D +54.1% • RSI 67
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.09 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.07
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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NIQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +89.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $20.09H $20.37L $19.83C $19.83VOL 1.50M
RES: $20.60SUP: $19.12SMA50: $18.49SMA200: $13.22
$21.44$17.78$14.12$10.46$6.79RES $20.60SUP $19.12$19.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
NIQ // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 43/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 1.7% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 78.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 2.0% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.7% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.7% paired with 4.39% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.7% // FCF YLD: 4.39%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.86 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.86 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 78.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $19.83 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend -8.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -8.4% // D/E: 3.54x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 78.3x
FCF YIELD 4.39%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 2.0%
NET MARGIN -8.4%
ROIC % 1.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 3.54x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NIQPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $18.15
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>