ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NBIS // Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001513845 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$154.14 ▼ -17.85 (-10.38%)
MKT CAP: $46.76B • VOL: 21.56M
NBIS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 37/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
37 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI +112.9% • ROIC-WACC -18.1% • Z 4.14
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 44% • VS 200D -3.5% • RSI 43.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
14 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 6 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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NBIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $182.3H $182.3L $154.1C $154.1VOL 17.70M
RES: $240.4SUP: $142.3SMA50: $208.0SMA200: $178.2
$313.9$255.8$197.7$139.5$81.41RES $240.4SUP $142.3$154.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
NBIS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) (NBIS) exhibits 68.6% gross margins and -9.6% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 68.6% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -9.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -9.6% // GM: 68.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +180.0% paired with -7.87% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +180.0% // FCF YLD: -7.87%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.14 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.14 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $154.14 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend 15.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.6% // D/E: 0.89x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.34).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -7.87%
GROSS MARGIN 68.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN 15.6%
ROIC % -9.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +180.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.89x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.34
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NBISPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $141.04
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>