ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MLI // Mueller Industries Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000089439 ↗
Industrials • Metal Fabrications
$54.56 ▼ -1.22 (-2.19%)
MKT CAP: $12.16B • VOL: 1.91M
MLI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +19.1% vs NI +26.5% • ROIC-WACC +30.6% • Z 18.71
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4.7% • P/E 14.8x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MLI's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MLI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $55.30H $55.78L $54.56C $54.56VOL 1.51M
RES: $71.50SUP: $52.45SMA50: $60.05SMA200: $62.17
$72.34$67.28$62.21$57.14$52.08RES $71.50SUP $52.45$54.562026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MLI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 73/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Mueller Industries Inc. (MLI) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 41.1% return on invested capital within Industrials (Metal Fabrications), balanced against a 9.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 22.9% operating margin and 41.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 41.1% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.9% paired with 4.67% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.9% // FCF YLD: 4.67%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 18.71 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 18.71 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.9x trailing P/E (14.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.9x // EV/EBITDA: 9.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $54.56 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Metal Fabrications require continuous execution to defend 18.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 18.3% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.9x
FORWARD P/E 14.8x
EV / EBITDA 9.6x
FCF YIELD 4.67%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 22.9%
NET MARGIN 18.3%
ROIC % 41.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.51
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.90%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 39.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.10
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MLIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $49.92
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MLI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>