ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MDLZ // Mondelez International Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001103982 ↗
Consumer Staples • Packaged Foods
$64.94 ▲ +2.41 (+3.85%)
MKT CAP: $79.81B • VOL: 15.06M
MDLZ // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -8.2% vs NI -46.8% • ROIC-WACC +0% • Z 2.32
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 73% • VS 200D +3.5% • RSI 50.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.19 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.09
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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MDLZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $61.87H $64.94L $61.87C $64.94VOL 7.83M
RES: $65.87SUP: $57.18SMA50: $61.71SMA200: $60.44
$67.30$64.60$61.89$59.19$56.48RES $65.87SUP $57.18$64.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MDLZ // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) exhibits 28.4% gross margins and 7.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Packaged Foods), balanced against a 19.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 28.4% gross profitability converts into 9.2% operating margin and 7.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.7% // GM: 28.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.8% paired with 4.05% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.8% // FCF YLD: 4.05%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.32 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.32 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 32.6x trailing P/E (30.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 32.6x // EV/EBITDA: 19.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $64.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Packaged Foods require continuous execution to defend 6.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.4% // D/E: 0.74x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 30.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 32.6x
FORWARD P/E 30.3x
EV / EBITDA 19.5x
FCF YIELD 4.05%
GROSS MARGIN 28.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.2%
NET MARGIN 6.4%
ROIC % 7.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.92
DEBT / EQUITY 0.74x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.12%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MDLZPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $59.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>