ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MDLN // Medline Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002046386 ↗
Health Care • Medical/Dental Instruments
$32.12 ▲ +0.12 (+0.38%)
MKT CAP: $42.07B • VOL: 14.57M
MDLN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 44/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
44 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
7 / 20
WARNING
FCF -8.3% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +0.6% • Z 2.5
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.13 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.07
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MDLN's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MDLN is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MDLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.31%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $32.37H $32.37L $32.00C $32.12VOL 15.89M
RES: $37.05SUP: $30.92SMA50: $34.41SMA200: $39.53
$46.67$42.52$38.38$34.23$30.08RES $37.05SUP $30.92$32.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MDLN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Medline Inc. (MDLN) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.2% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical/Dental Instruments), balanced against a 20.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 7.8% operating margin and 8.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +11.5% paired with 3.08% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +11.5% // FCF YLD: 3.08%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.50 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.50 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 20.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $32.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical/Dental Instruments require continuous execution to defend 68.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 68.0% // D/E: 1.16x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.11).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 20.3x
FCF YIELD 3.08%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 7.8%
NET MARGIN 68.0%
ROIC % 8.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +11.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.16x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 30.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.11
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MDLNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $29.39
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MDLN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>