ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MAR // Marriott International

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001048286 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Hotels/Resorts
$399.30 ▼ -0.35 (-0.09%)
MKT CAP: $104.22B • VOL: 2.03M
MAR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 76/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
76 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +1.7% vs NI +9.5% • ROIC-WACC +31.8% • Z 6.9
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
18 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 93% • VS 200D +12% • RSI 68.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MAR's Macro Regime Fit & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MAR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $394.4H $399.7L $394.4C $399.3VOL 1.29M
RES: $410.8SUP: $289.9SMA50: $361.9SMA200: $356.8
$418.6$387.0$355.4$323.8$292.2RES $410.8SUP $289.9$399.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MAR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 66/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Marriott International (MAR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 39.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Hotels/Resorts), balanced against a 21.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 15.8% operating margin and 39.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 39.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.3% paired with 1.95% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.3% // FCF YLD: 1.95%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.90 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.90 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 40.1x trailing P/E (37.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 40.1x // EV/EBITDA: 21.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $399.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Hotels/Resorts require continuous execution to defend 9.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 9.9% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 37.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.90).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 40.1x
FORWARD P/E 37.3x
EV / EBITDA 21.3x
FCF YIELD 1.95%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 15.8%
NET MARGIN 9.9%
ROIC % 39.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.97
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.69%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 68.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.90
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MARPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $365.37
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MAR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>