ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FLUT // Flutter Entertainment plc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001635327 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Programming Data Processing
$82.59 ▲ +3.40 (+4.29%)
MKT CAP: $13.87B • VOL: 2.36M
FLUT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 41/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
41 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -26% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -7.4% • Z 1.37
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 4% • VS 200D -25% • RSI 46.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF YIELD +7.8% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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FLUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $78.53H $82.59L $78.53C $82.59VOL 1.16M
RES: $91.16SUP: $64.80SMA50: $86.13SMA200: $105.5
$213.8$175.5$137.2$98.96$60.68RES $91.16SUP $64.80$82.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
FLUT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 41/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) exhibits 45.2% gross margins and 0.1% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.2% gross profitability converts into 0.2% operating margin and 0.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.1% // GM: 45.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.4% paired with 7.78% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.4% // FCF YLD: 7.78%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.37 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.37 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $82.59 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing require continuous execution to defend 0.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.2% // D/E: 1.35x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.19).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 7.78%
GROSS MARGIN 45.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.2%
NET MARGIN 0.2%
ROIC % 0.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.35x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.19
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FLUTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $75.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>