ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FE // FirstEnergy Corp.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001031296 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$46.91 ▲ +0.08 (+0.17%)
MKT CAP: $27.11B • VOL: 5.02M
FE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +32.2% vs NI +4.3% • ROIC-WACC -0.5% • Z 0.74
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 43% • VS 200D -1.4% • RSI 63.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +11.1% • P/E 24.7x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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FE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $46.40H $46.91L $46.40C $46.91VOL 5.08M
RES: $47.41SUP: $41.87SMA50: $45.44SMA200: $47.51
$50.99$48.74$46.48$44.23$41.97RES $47.41SUP $41.87$46.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
FE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.8% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 16.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 14.6% operating margin and 5.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.8% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +12.0% paired with 11.14% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +12.0% // FCF YLD: 11.14%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.74 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.6x trailing P/E (24.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.6x // EV/EBITDA: 16.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $46.91 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 6.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.8% // D/E: 1.41x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.63).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.6x
FORWARD P/E 24.7x
EV / EBITDA 16.1x
FCF YIELD 11.14%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 14.6%
NET MARGIN 6.8%
ROIC % 5.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +12.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.76
DEBT / EQUITY 1.41x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.75%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.63
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $42.92
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>