ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ESLT // Elbit Systems Ltd.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001027664 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$779.68 ▼ -27.73 (-3.43%)
MKT CAP: $37.55B • VOL: 91.7K
ESLT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 74/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +73% vs NI +66.4% • ROIC-WACC +5.4% • Z 5.02
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.11 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.08
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ESLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $779.3H $807.4L $779.3C $779.7VOL 111.0K
RES: $812.0SUP: $622.7SMA50: $726.7SMA200: $786.3
$937.3$851.2$765.1$678.9$592.8RES $812.0SUP $622.7$779.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ESLT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) exhibits 24.4% gross margins and 15.1% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 42.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 24.4% gross profitability converts into 8.5% operating margin and 15.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.1% // GM: 24.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.3% paired with 1.47% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.3% // FCF YLD: 1.47%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.02 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.02 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 70.3x trailing P/E (59.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 70.3x // EV/EBITDA: 42.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $779.68 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 6.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.7% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 59.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.94).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 70.3x
FORWARD P/E 59.1x
EV / EBITDA 42.8x
FCF YIELD 1.47%
GROSS MARGIN 24.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.5%
NET MARGIN 6.7%
ROIC % 15.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.49
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.30%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.94
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ESLTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $713.43
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>