ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DKNG // DraftKings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001883685 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation
$20.91 ▲ +0.19 (+0.92%)
MKT CAP: $10.29B • VOL: 8.89M
DKNG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 41/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
41 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
7 / 20
WARNING
FCF +58.9% vs NI +100.7% • ROIC-WACC -7.6% • Z 0.93
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 13% • VS 200D -14.1% • RSI 50.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +6.3% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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DKNG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.29%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $20.30H $20.91L $20.30C $20.91VOL 10.99M
RES: $23.50SUP: $17.07SMA50: $21.65SMA200: $24.11
$34.09$29.82$25.56$21.29$17.03RES $23.50SUP $17.07$20.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DKNG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) exhibits 41.3% gross margins and -1.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.3% gross profitability converts into -0.3% operating margin and -1.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -1.1% // GM: 41.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +27.0% paired with 6.29% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +27.0% // FCF YLD: 6.29%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.93 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $20.91 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation require continuous execution to defend 0.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.1% // D/E: 2.59x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 6.29%
GROSS MARGIN 41.3%
OPERATING MARGIN -0.3%
NET MARGIN 0.1%
ROIC % -1.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +27.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 2.59x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DKNGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $19.13
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>