ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DG // Dollar General Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000029534 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Department/Specialty Retail Stores
$132.30 ▲ +2.21 (+1.70%)
MKT CAP: $28.70B • VOL: 1.77M
DG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +46.5% vs NI +34.4% • ROIC-WACC +3.1% • Z 2.62
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6% • P/E 17.7x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.21 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.06
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did DG's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever DG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

DG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $126.2H $132.3L $126.2C $132.3VOL 1.96M
RES: $140.1SUP: $117.2SMA50: $126.6SMA200: $125.6
$141.9$130.4$118.9$107.5$96.01RES $140.1SUP $117.2$132.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Dollar General Corporation (DG) exhibits 30.7% gross margins and 10.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), balanced against a 9.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 30.7% gross profitability converts into 5.2% operating margin and 10.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.4% // GM: 30.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.2% paired with 5.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.2% // FCF YLD: 5.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.62 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.62 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 19.0x trailing P/E (17.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 19.0x // EV/EBITDA: 9.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $132.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Department/Specialty Retail Stores require continuous execution to defend 3.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.5% // D/E: 1.11x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.97).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 19.0x
FORWARD P/E 17.7x
EV / EBITDA 9.6x
FCF YIELD 5.96%
GROSS MARGIN 30.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.2%
NET MARGIN 3.5%
ROIC % 10.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.85
DEBT / EQUITY 1.11x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.81%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.97
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $121.06
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for DG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>