ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AZO // AutoZone Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000866787 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto & Home Supply Stores
$3,169.82 ▲ +32.78 (+1.05%)
MKT CAP: $50.49B • VOL: 207.3K
AZO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF -7.3% vs NI -6.2% • ROIC-WACC +48.3% • Z 4.45
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 32% • VS 200D -3.7% • RSI 57.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.6% • P/E 18.8x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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AZO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.97%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $3,156.8H $3,169.8L $3,137.0C $3,169.8VOL 198.1K
RES: $3,291.5SUP: $2,658.9SMA50: $2,970.2SMA200: $3,258.0
$3,841.9$3,540.7$3,239.5$2,938.4$2,637.2RES $3,291.5SUP $2,658.9$3,169.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
AZO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 79/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AutoZone Inc. (AZO) exhibits 52.6% gross margins and 55.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto & Home Supply Stores), balanced against a 12.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 52.6% gross profitability converts into 19.1% operating margin and 55.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 55.8% // GM: 52.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.4% paired with 3.55% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.4% // FCF YLD: 3.55%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.45 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.45 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.2x trailing P/E (18.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.2x // EV/EBITDA: 12.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $3,169.82 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto & Home Supply Stores require continuous execution to defend 13.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.2% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.92).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.2x
FORWARD P/E 18.8x
EV / EBITDA 12.4x
FCF YIELD 3.55%
GROSS MARGIN 52.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 19.1%
NET MARGIN 13.2%
ROIC % 55.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $155.22
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.92
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AZOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2,900.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>