ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ATI // ATI Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001018963 ↗
Materials • Steel/Iron Ore
$165.59 ▼ -9.41 (-5.38%)
MKT CAP: $23.83B • VOL: 1.81M
ATI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 70/100 [B-] (+1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF +93.4% vs NI +9.9% • ROIC-WACC +11.1% • Z 6.33
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.42
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ATI's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ATI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ATI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $165.3H $175.0L $165.3C $165.6VOL 3.44M
RES: $248.8SUP: $152.6SMA50: $189.1SMA200: $173.9
$252.8$214.7$176.6$138.5$100.3RES $248.8SUP $152.6$165.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ATI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

ATI Inc. (ATI) exhibits 22.0% gross margins and 18.6% return on invested capital within Materials (Steel/Iron Ore), balanced against a 30.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 22.0% gross profitability converts into 14.0% operating margin and 18.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.6% // GM: 22.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.2% paired with 1.71% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.2% // FCF YLD: 1.71%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.33 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.33 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 58.9x trailing P/E (54.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 58.9x // EV/EBITDA: 30.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $165.59 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Steel/Iron Ore require continuous execution to defend 8.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.8% // D/E: 0.74x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 54.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.88).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 58.9x
FORWARD P/E 54.8x
EV / EBITDA 30.3x
FCF YIELD 1.71%
GROSS MARGIN 22.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 14.0%
NET MARGIN 8.8%
ROIC % 18.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.97
DEBT / EQUITY 0.74x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.88
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ATIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $151.52
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ATI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>