ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AEP // American Electric Power Company Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000004904 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$130.21 ▲ +0.87 (+0.67%)
MKT CAP: $70.43B • VOL: 4.59M
AEP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 60% • VS 200D +0.9% • RSI 60
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8.5% • P/E 15.8x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.29 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.08
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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AEP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $128.2H $130.2L $128.2C $130.2VOL 4.36M
RES: $132.3SUP: $114.3SMA50: $123.7SMA200: $128.2
$142.3$135.3$128.4$121.5$114.6RES $132.3SUP $114.3$130.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
AEP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.6% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 18.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 24.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.7% paired with 8.47% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.7% // FCF YLD: 8.47%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.97 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.97 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.0x trailing P/E (15.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.0x // EV/EBITDA: 18.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $130.21 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 19.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 19.1% // D/E: 1.42x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 15.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.78).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.0x
FORWARD P/E 15.8x
EV / EBITDA 18.6x
FCF YIELD 8.47%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 24.5%
NET MARGIN 19.1%
ROIC % 5.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.62
DEBT / EQUITY 1.42x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.85%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 60.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.78
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AEPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $119.15
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>