United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-02, United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $108.25 (+0.86% 1D, market cap $91.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UPS ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), UPS carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.8%. By comparison, ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $35.74B) and JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).
Per UPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001090727), United Parcel Service Inc. generated $88.66B in revenue (-2.6% YoY), $5.57B in net income, and $4.76B in free cash flow against $73.09B in total assets and $17.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.4% FCF Margin ($4.76B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (70.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, UPS faces multiple-compression risk if 16.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($99.40) or 200D SMA ($104.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.53) toward Bear Floor ($88.77).
United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) advanced +0.86% to $108.25, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($90.84 – $122.41). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Britannica report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Key TakeawaysUPS yields 7. 1% and Target yields 3.
Key TakeawaysUPS yields 7. 1% against Chevron’s 3.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UPS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) ranks #20 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #15 by equity capitalization ($91.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ODFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and — gross margin. UPS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPS
ACTIVE
United Parcel Service Inc. | B | 75/100 | 16.4x | — | 24.8% | +0.86% | $91.31B | Benchmark Subject |
| ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 34.9x | — | 25.5% | +0.12% | $35.74B | /odfl-vs-ups → |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 34.6x | — | 15.8% | -0.44% | $20.70B | /jbht-vs-ups → |
| ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American | C | 65/100 | 11.8x | 25.0% | 12.5% | +1.36% | $15.31B | /zto-vs-ups → |
| KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | 150.9x | — | 1.9% | -0.62% | $9.95B | /knx-vs-ups → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) reported GAAP revenue of $88.66B (-2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $91.07B , and -2.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.57B, operating cash flow of $8.45B, and free cash flow of $4.76B (-23.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, UPS closed FY2025 with $73.09B in total assets against $17.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $88.66B | $5.57B | $8.45B | $4.76B | $73.09B | $17.10B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $91.07B | $5.78B | $10.12B | $6.21B | $70.07B | $16.40B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $90.96B | $6.71B | $10.24B | $6.14B | $109.15B | $25.54B |
As of 2026-11-02, United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $108.25 (+0.86% 1D, market cap $91.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UPS ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), UPS carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.8%. By comparison, ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $35.74B) and JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).
Per UPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001090727), United Parcel Service Inc. generated $88.66B in revenue (-2.6% YoY), $5.57B in net income, and $4.76B in free cash flow against $73.09B in total assets and $17.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
UPS last traded at $108.25 (+0.86% on volume of 5,445,791 shares), positioning the stock +8.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($99.40) and +3.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($104.58). Across its 52-week range of $90.84 to $122.41, UPS sits at the 55.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($102.84 to $113.66).
Why UPS Stock advanced +0.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, UPS scores 75 out of 100 (grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward"). Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 16 of 20 (ROIC 24.8%; FCF yield 5.22%), suggesting the business generates strong returns on invested capital relative to its size. Whale/13F flow scores 14 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning that are supportive but not dominant. Insider conviction scores 18 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), the highest pillar, which the rating treats as a meaningful positive signal. Macro regime fit scores 11 of 20 (Beta 1.12; sector sensitivity), the weakest pillar, meaning the stock is expected to move more than the market and remains exposed to sector conditions. Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 (Altman Z 3.57; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.91), pointing to a financially sound profile. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers in this framework are cash generation, insider and institutional signals, and balance-sheet strength. The main tradeoffs are macro and sector sensitivity, as reflected in the 1.12 beta, and a valuation that the market data places at 16.4x trailing earnings. The rating is a structured scoring output and does not constitute personalized financial advice.
United Parcel Service Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry, per the company profile. The profile describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $91.3B. The source data does not itemize customer segments or revenue mix. Monetization is reflected in reported revenue of $88661.0M for FY 2025 per the SEC financials, but the source data does not describe how that revenue is generated.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $88661.0M | $7867.0M | $5572.0M | N/A | $4765.0M | $5887.0M | $17103.1M |
| FY 2024 | $91070.0M | $8468.0M | $5782.0M | N/A | $6213.0M | $6112.0M | $16396.4M |
| FY 2023 | $90958.0M | $9141.0M | $6708.0M | N/A | $6144.9M | N/A | $25541.0M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $90958.0M (FY 2023) to $88661.0M (FY 2025), and net income moved from $6708.0M to $5572.0M over the same span. The market data reports an operating margin of 8.9%, a net margin of 6.3%, and ROIC of 24.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.57 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.91. Gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data, which the source data does not explain.
The news wire contains six items, all tagged relatedSymbol UPS and rated YELLOW. Headlines reference a "Secure Commerce launch," characterized in one headline as potentially undervaluing the stock by about 20%, a "Protected Delivery" addition for 2026 holidays, and a view that "Bottom Might Be In, But Upside Is Limited." Other items describe the stock as a potential value opportunity and as a most-watched name. Per the news wire, these items are market commentary, and the source data does not include their underlying detail. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. The only sector context provided is the Industrials classification and the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry, along with the beta of 1.12 that the RQD rating uses in its macro regime pillar.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Britannica report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the UPS (United Parcel Service Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 75/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UPS, but look at what you are paying: 16.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless United Parcel Service Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UPS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $107.33 (52-wk range $90.84 - $122.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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