Stock Ratings / Industrials / ODFL / dividends

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Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$172.56 +0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $172.27

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $35.74B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ODFL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ODFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $172.56 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $35.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ODFL ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ODFL compare to JBHT and ZTO in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ODFL carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.5%. By comparison, JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B) and ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ODFL?

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Per ODFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000878927), Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.02B in net income, and $1.37B in free cash flow against $5.47B in total assets and $20.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $172.27 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 27.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ODFL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ODFL SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.4% FCF Margin ($1.37B FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 22.23 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$183.17+2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$188.33-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$187.03-7.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$172.56+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ODFL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ODFL faces multiple-compression risk if 34.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($182.29) or 200D SMA ($201.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($179.55) toward Bear Floor ($140.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ODFL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ODFL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.46% Total Yield

0.66% Cash ($1.14/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

16.7% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $22,610

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $556/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.8K

Yr 1

$11.8K

Yr 2

$12.8K

Yr 3

$13.9K

Yr 4

$15.0K

Yr 5

$16.3K

Yr 6

$17.7K

Yr 7

$19.2K

Yr 8

$20.8K

Yr 9

$22.6K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ODFL & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ODFL and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ODFL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $173.3H $173.3L $172.4C $172.6VOL 3.45M

RES: $188.8SUP: $165.0SMA50: $182.3SMA200: $201.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ODFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ODFL Butterfly Map → + Track ODFL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ODFL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ODFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ODFL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ODFL)

Industrials Rank #68 of 485 ⚔️ JBHT vs ODFL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ODFL vs. JBHT, ZTO, UPS, KNX)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) ranks #68 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #45 by equity capitalization ($35.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ODFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and — gross margin. UPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ODFL at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ODFL ACTIVE Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.	C+	67/100	34.9x	—	25.5%	+0.12%	$35.74B	Benchmark Subject
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.	C+	66/100	34.6x	—	15.8%	-0.44%	$20.70B	/jbht-vs-odfl →
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American	C	65/100	11.8x	25.0%	12.5%	+1.36%	$15.31B	/zto-vs-odfl →
UPS United Parcel Service Inc.	B	75/100	16.4x	—	24.8%	+0.86%	$91.31B	/ups-vs-odfl →
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.	D	48/100	150.9x	—	1.9%	-0.62%	$9.95B	/knx-vs-odfl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000878927

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $1.02B, operating cash flow of $1.37B, and free cash flow of $1.37B (-17.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ODFL closed FY2025 with $5.47B in total assets against $20.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 22.23, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$1.02B	$1.37B	$1.37B	$5.47B	$20.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$1.19B	$1.66B	$1.66B	$5.49B	$561.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$1.24B	$1.57B	$1.57B	$19.66B	$4.60B

3. ODFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ODFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ODFL compare to JBHT and ZTO in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ODFL?

Where is ODFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ODFL last traded at $172.56 (+0.12% on volume of 2,607,213 shares), positioning the stock -5.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($182.29) and -14.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($201.68). Across its 52-week range of $126.01 to $252.03, ODFL sits at the 36.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($161.52 to $183.60).

ODFL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ODFL pay a dividend and is it safe?

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) offers a 0.66% cash dividend yield ($1.14 annualized) and 2.46% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: ODFL RQD Cockpit ODFL 12M Forecast ODFL Earnings & Move ODFL Dividends & DRIP ODFL Insiders & 13F ODFL Whale Options ODFL Profit Sankey ODFL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ODFL — Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ODFL scores 67 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20 (ROIC 25.5%; FCF yield 2.57%), Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 0.89; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 18/20 (Altman Z 22.23; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest contributions come from the cash engine and balance sheet pillars, which together account for most of the score. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 7/20, indicating that the 13F-derived signal is comparatively muted in the source data. For a prospective investor, the rating frames ODFL as a financially strong business whose current valuation (P/E TTM 34.9) and modest FCF yield (2.57%) leave limited margin for error, and whose near-term direction depends on whether institutional and insider signals strengthen. The "watch for breakout" language reflects that the score sits in the upper neutral zone rather than signaling a clear directional call.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
172.35	$35.74B	34.9	32.5	20.4	4.94	0.66%	0.89	$126.01 - $252.03	25.5%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$1361.0M	$1023.7M	N/A	$1370.1M	$120.1M	$20.0M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$1544.0M	$1186.1M	N/A	$1659.3M	$108.7M	$561.1M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$1640.7M	$1239.5M	N/A	$1569.1M	N/A	$4599.5M

Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income declined across the three periods shown, moving from $1640.7M and $1239.5M in FY 2023 to $1361.0M and $1023.7M in FY 2025. Reported debt fell from $4599.5M to $20.0M over the same span. Per the market data section, operating margin is 13.6%, net margin is 10.2%, and ROIC is 25.5%. The forensic pillar of the RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 22.23, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, which together describe a balance sheet the rating treats as strong.

Open Questions

What were the reported revenue figures, given that every period shows $0.0M in the financials data?
What were the specific Q3 2026 sales results and guidance referenced in the news wire, and how did they compare to expectations?
Why did operating and net income decline across FY 2023 to FY 2025, and what drove the reduction in reported debt?
What are the specific institutional 13F and insider Form 4 positions behind the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
Does the current P/E of 34.9 and 2.57% FCF yield reflect expectations that the source data does not describe?

ODFL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ODFL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Looks Rich Against Cash Flow

Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 10h ago

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc Stock (ODFL) Moved Down by 7.56% on Oct 28: What Signal Does It Send?

TradingKey report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 13h ago

Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:ODFL) surprises with Q3 2026 sales

TradingView report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 16h ago

What Is Behind The Move In Old Dominion Stock?

Trefis report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 19h ago

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 22h ago

What Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

TradingView report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Price Retreats As Q3 Results Fuel Margin Debate

Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Q3 earnings: what to expect

Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ODFL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $172.56?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ODFL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $186.14 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ODFL (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $172.35?

Welcome to the ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (34.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $141.33 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $172.35

Pump the brakes on ODFL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ODFL, but look at what you are paying: 34.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $217.16 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $172.35

ODFL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ODFL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $172.35 (52-wk range $126.01 - $252.03), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.