Yahoo Finance report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NRG Stock slipped -1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE: NRG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $96.06 (-1.52% 1D, market cap $20.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NRG ranks #67 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NRG compare to BEP and EIX in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), NRG carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, BEP (Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $19.75B) and EIX (Edison International) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $22.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EIX leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while NRG leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRG?
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Per NRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001013871), NRG Energy Inc. generated $30.35B in revenue (+9.4% YoY), $864.0M in net income, and $766.0M in free cash flow against $29.14B in total assets and $16.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.00 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NRG Turnaround Squeeze
While NRG currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($103.96) and Max Pain ($100.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $199.46.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NRG Stock slipped -1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) slipped -1.52% to $96.06, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($90.8 – $189.96). Stretched risk/reward at 24x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($90.8 – $189.96) with RSI-14 at 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $96.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $766.0M annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketWatch report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketWatch report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NRG)
- ✓Walkthrough of NRG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NRG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRG)
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (NRG vs. BEP, EIX, TLN, ES)
Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) ranks #67 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #32 by equity capitalization ($20.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EIX leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while NRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BEP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with NRG at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRG
ACTIVE
NRG Energy Inc. | D | 48/100 | 23.7x | — | 10.9% | -1.52% | $20.50B | Benchmark Subject |
| BEP Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. | D+ | 57/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.34% | $19.75B | /bep-vs-nrg → |
| EIX Edison International | D- | 38/100 | 5.1x | — | 10.5% | -0.99% | $22.85B | /eix-vs-nrg → |
| TLN Talen Energy Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -1.0% | -1.64% | $16.71B | /tln-vs-nrg → |
| ES Eversource Energy (D/B/A) | D | 46/100 | 11.0x | — | 5.5% | +0.96% | $25.58B | /es-vs-nrg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001013871In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) reported GAAP revenue of $30.35B (+9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $27.75B , and +7.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $864.0M, operating cash flow of $1.91B, and free cash flow of $766.0M (-58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRG closed FY2025 with $29.14B in total assets against $16.41B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.00, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $30.35B | $864.0M | $1.91B | $766.0M | $29.14B | $16.41B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $27.75B | $1.13B | $2.31B | $1.83B | $24.02B | $9.81B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $28.26B | -$202.0M | -$221.0M | -$1.49B | $33.91B | $7.93B |
3. NRG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE: NRG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $96.06 (-1.52% 1D, market cap $20.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NRG ranks #67 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NRG compare to BEP and EIX in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), NRG carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, BEP (Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $19.75B) and EIX (Edison International) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $22.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EIX leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while NRG leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRG?
Per NRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001013871), NRG Energy Inc. generated $30.35B in revenue (+9.4% YoY), $864.0M in net income, and $766.0M in free cash flow against $29.14B in total assets and $16.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NRG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NRG last traded at $96.06 (-1.52% on volume of 2,188,999 shares), positioning the stock -7.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($103.96) and -28.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($134.74). Across its 52-week range of $90.80 to $189.96, NRG sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($87.89 to $104.23).
NRG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NRG stock moving today?
Why NRG Stock slipped -1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 24x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
NRG — NRG Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NRG scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 10.9% and an FCF yield of 3.74%. Both are present in the source but moderate, and the pillar sits below the midpoint.
- Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. The rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as the basis. The pillar is weak, and the source data supplies no 13F holder detail to verify it (see the Analyst View section).
- Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. The rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar, though the underlying trade records are not present in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. The rating cites beta of 0.67 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar and the main drag on the overall score.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z-Score of 2, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.5. The Piotroski reading is solid, while the Altman and leverage readings signal balance-sheet strain.
For a prospective investor, the score points to a stock the framework views as underperforming, with its clearest weakness in macro regime fit and its clearest support in insider conviction. The sub-50 overall score and the "Distribution Warning" label indicate the framework does not see a favorable risk-reward setup at current levels. Valuation context from the market data (P/E of 23.7 TTM versus a forward P/E of 22) shows earnings expected to rise, but the trailing EPS of 4.11 sits against a share price that has traded between $90.8 and $189.96 over the past 52 weeks, a wide range that highlights volatility and the depth of the recent drawdown.
Snapshot
Business
NRG Energy Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, Electric Utilities: Central industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue mix. Revenue of $30347.0M for FY 2025 is reported in the SEC financials, but the mechanics of how it is generated are not available in source data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $30347.0M | $1845.0M | $864.0M | N/A | $766.0M | $4708.0M | $16412.0M |
| FY 2024 | $27748.0M | $2424.0M | $1125.0M | N/A | $1834.0M | $966.0M | $9812.0M |
| FY 2023 | $28256.0M | $384.0M | $-202.0M | N/A | $-1492.5M | N/A | $7934.3M |
Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $-202.0M in FY 2023 to $1125.0M in FY 2024 before easing to $864.0M in FY 2025, while debt rose from $7934.3M to $16412.0M across the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 6.1%, the net margin is 2.8%, and the gross margin is reported as 0%. ROIC is 10.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, both per the RQD rating. A Debt/Equity reading of 8.5 is also cited in the rating, indicating heavy leverage. Taken together, profitability has been positive over the two most recent periods, but the rising debt load is the central balance-sheet concern.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Raymond James price target cut (RISK WATCH, RED): Per the news wire, the firm cut its NRG price target on Texas headwinds. This is the most direct negative catalyst in the feed.
- TradingView price target item (RISK WATCH, RED): A 12-month price target of $183.69 is cited, described as implying 88% upside. This target sits well above the current price of $97.54 and conflicts with the Raymond James cut.
- MarketWatch outperformance report (CATALYST, GREEN): Per the news wire, NRG outperformed competitors on a strong trading day. This is a short-term positive signal.
- MarketWatch underperformance report (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the news wire, NRG underperformed competitors on a Monday session. The two MarketWatch items point in opposite directions.
- Yahoo Finance items (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Two general market reports cover trading action and trending-stock context, with no specific fundamental detail.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What drove the Raymond James price target cut on Texas headwinds, and how large is NRG's exposure to that market?
- What explains the gap between the 52-week high of $189.96 and the current price of $97.54, and what caused the decline?
- How is the rise in debt from $7934.3M to $16412.0M being financed, and what is the implied interest burden?
- Why are EPS figures marked N/A across all three reported periods, and what is the per-share earnings trend?
- What is the basis for the 88% upside implied by the $183.69 price target, given the analyst data is absent from the sources?
NRG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketWatch report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketWatch report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NRG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $96.06?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NRG (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $97.54?
Welcome to the NRG (NRG Energy Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on NRG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NRG, but look at what you are paying: 23.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless NRG Energy Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
NRG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NRG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $97.54 (52-wk range $90.80 - $189.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.