Stock Ratings / Financials / MTG / financials

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MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$28.41 -1.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.40

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $5.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MTG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE: MTG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $28.41 (-1.52% 1D, market cap $5.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MTG ranks #67 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTG compare to SIGI and RLI in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), MTG carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, SIGI (Selective Insurance Group Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $5.83B) and RLI (RLI Corp.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 13.5%, cap $5.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while MCY leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTG?

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Per MTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876437), MGIC Investment Corporation generated $1.21B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $738.3M in net income, and $851.8M in free cash flow against $6.64B in total assets and $671.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.40 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 70.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MTG SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 70.2% FCF Margin ($851.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$27.29+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$27.31+3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$28.26+0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B$28.41+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, MTG faces multiple-compression risk if 8.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.89) or 200D SMA ($27.78) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.20) toward Bear Floor ($23.30).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MTG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$851.8M (70.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.16B

FY24

Rev $1.21B

FY25

Rev $1.21B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.21B	52%	71.8%	$738.3M	$851.8M	12.6%
FY 2024	$1.21B	52%	74.5%	$763.0M	$723.9M	12.8%
FY 2023	$1.16B	52%	72.8%	$712.9M	$661.0M	33.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTG)

✓Walkthrough of MTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.56%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-03O $28.85H $28.85L $28.41C $28.41VOL 1.76M

RES: $31.16SUP: $25.98SMA50: $28.89SMA200: $27.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MTG Butterfly Map → + Track MTG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTG)

Financials Rank #67 of 1096 ⚔️ SIGI vs MTG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MTG vs. SIGI, RLI, MCY, ESNT)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) ranks #67 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #248 by equity capitalization ($5.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTG leads on earnings valuation at 8.0x trailing P/E, while MCY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RLI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MTG at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MTG ACTIVE MGIC Investment Corporation	B	72/100	8.0x	—	13.2%	-1.52%	$5.83B	Benchmark Subject
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc.	B	74/100	12.6x	—	6.8%	-0.49%	$5.83B	/sigi-vs-mtg →
RLI RLI Corp.	B+	80/100	14.7x	—	13.5%	+0.94%	$5.98B	/rli-vs-mtg →
MCY Mercury General Corporation	B	72/100	10.5x	—	22.4%	-0.22%	$5.67B	/mcy-vs-mtg →
ESNT Essent Group Ltd.	B+	77/100	8.8x	—	11.9%	-0.86%	$6.02B	/esnt-vs-mtg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000876437

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.21B , and +5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $738.3M, operating cash flow of $852.8M, and free cash flow of $851.8M (+17.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTG closed FY2025 with $6.64B in total assets against $671.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.21B	$738.3M	$852.8M	$851.8M	$6.64B	$671.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.21B	$763.0M	$725.0M	$723.9M	$6.55B	$618.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.16B	$712.9M	$713.0M	$661.0M	$3.25B	$761.6M

3. MTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MTG compare to SIGI and RLI in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTG?

Where is MTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTG last traded at $28.41 (-1.52% on volume of 1,757,183 shares), positioning the stock -1.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.89) and +2.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.78). Across its 52-week range of $24.69 to $31.89, MTG sits at the 51.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($27.02 to $29.80).

MTG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MTG converted $1.2B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 52% operating margin, and $851.8M in free cash flow (70.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: MTG RQD Cockpit MTG 12M Forecast MTG Earnings & Move MTG Dividends & DRIP MTG Insiders & 13F MTG Whale Options MTG Profit Sankey MTG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MTG — MGIC Investment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MTG scores 75 of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental cash engine: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 13.2% and an FCF yield of 14.39%. For a prospective investor, this is the strongest evidence of cash generation in the rating, since the free cash flow yield is high relative to the market capitalization.
Whale 13F flow: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score cannot be traced to specific holdings.
Insider conviction: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the highest pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source data, so investors should treat the score as a summary, not a verified trade log.
Macro regime fit: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.14 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broad market, which means larger drawdowns in risk-off periods alongside potential upside in risk-on periods.
Forensic balance sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These metrics point to a financially sound balance sheet, though the Z-score is a model output and not a guarantee of solvency.

Taken together, the pillar profile suggests the rating is driven most by cash generation and insider activity, with institutional flow and macro sensitivity contributing less. The valuation multiples (P/E 8, Forward P/E 7.4) are low in absolute terms, so the upside case rests on whether current earnings and cash flow persist. The tradeoff is that a low multiple can also reflect market skepticism about durability. This is an analytical framing, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$28.85	$5.92B	8	7.4	6.8	3.6	2.24%	1.14	$24.69 - $31.89	13.2%

Business

MGIC Investment Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Property-Casualty Insurers industry, per the SEC financials and profile. The profile describes the company as a Financials issuer operating in Property-Casualty Insurers with a market capitalization of $5.9B. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$1213.6M	$871.2M	$738.3M	N/A	$851.8M	$369.0M	$671.4M
FY 2024	$1207.7M	$900.3M	$763.0M	N/A	$723.9M	$229.5M	$618.7M
FY 2023	$1155.1M	$841.3M	$712.9M	N/A	$661.0M	N/A	$761.6M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1155.1M in FY 2023 to $1213.6M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $712.9M to $763.0M in FY 2024 and then $738.3M in FY 2025. Market data reports an operating margin of 74.2% and a net margin of 60.8%. Per the market data, ROIC is 13.2%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the SEC financials, debt fell from $761.6M in FY 2023 to $671.4M in FY 2025, and cash rose to $369.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Dividend declaration (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): "MGIC Investment Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend," per the news feed, is the most concrete corporate action listed.
Price target cut (RED, RISK WATCH): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $30.33, implying 5% upside, per the news feed.
Margin headline (RED, RISK WATCH): A Yahoo Finance headline describes 80% margins on falling revenue, framed as a question about valuation, per the news feed.
Consensus target (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A MarketBeat headline cites an average target price of $30.80, per the news feed.
Working capital (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A TradingView item covers changes in working capital, per the news feed; no figures are provided in the headline.
Dividend-focused coverage (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance headline frames the stock as a dividend opportunity, per the news feed.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream dependencies, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector-level context is that the issuer sits in Financials / Property-Casualty Insurers, per the profile. Investors would need external sector data to assess how catastrophe losses, interest rate shifts, or reinsurance pricing might propagate, and those inputs are not available in source data.

Open Questions

What is the composition of revenue and the source of the 80% margin figure in light of falling revenue headlines?
Which specific Form 4 insider and Congressional PTR transactions drive the 18/20 insider conviction pillar?
What institutional 13F holders and options positions underlie the 12/20 whale flow pillar?
What is the EPS for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the financials report EPS as N/A?
What is the cash balance for FY 2023, and what drove the rise in cash to $369.0M in FY 2025?

MTG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MTG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Why MGIC Investment (MTG) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now

Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 21h ago

MGIC Investment Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $30.33, Implies 5% Upside

TradingView report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

MGIC Investment (MTG) Earns 80% Margins on Falling Revenue. Is the Stock Cheap Enough?

Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) Stock Has Average Target Price of $30.80

MarketBeat report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Changes in working capital of MGIC Investment Corporation – BMV:MTG

TradingView report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

MGIC Investment Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend

Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

MGIC Investment Corporation $MTG Stock Sold by Assenagon Asset Management S.A.

MarketBeat report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) Edges Lower to $27.09, Holding Well Above Key Support - Andrews Pitchfork

https://www.siam.in/ report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MTG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $28.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MTG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.04 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MTG (B • RQD 75/100) a Buy at $28.85?

Welcome to the MTG (MGIC Investment Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 75/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Property-Casualty Insurers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.08 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $28.85

Pump the brakes on MTG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MTG, but look at what you are paying: 8.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless MGIC Investment Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.49 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $28.85

MTG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MTG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Property-Casualty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.85 (52-wk range $24.69 - $31.89), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.