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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LEA / dividends
MOD (54) GNTX (66) GTX (61) ALV (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Lear Corporation (LEA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$118.44 +0.90% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $118.41

Lear Corporation (LEA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.79B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LEA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LEA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Lear Corporation (NYSE: LEA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $118.44 (+0.90% 1D, market cap $5.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LEA ranks #458 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LEA compare to MOD and GNTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LEA carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.3x, gross margin of 6.5%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, MOD (Modine Manufacturing Company) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 60.8x, ROIC 17.0%, cap $7.38B) and GNTX (Gentex Corporation) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEA?
β–Ό

Per LEA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000842162), Lear Corporation generated $23.26B in revenue (-0.2% YoY), $436.8M in net income, and $527.2M in free cash flow against $14.84B in total assets and $3.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $118.40 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 2.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$158 Bull$117 Base$91 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LEA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LEA SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.3% FCF Margin ($527.2M FCF) & 6.5% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.2) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$119.60+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$119.99-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$116.64+1.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$118.44-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LEA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, LEA faces multiple-compression risk if 13.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($121.86) or 200D SMA ($128.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.84) toward Bear Floor ($91.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLEA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
4.65% Total Yield
2.85% Cash ($3.38/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
20.3% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $21,992

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,023/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.7K
Yr 2
$12.7K
Yr 3
$13.7K
Yr 4
$14.8K
Yr 5
$16.0K
Yr 6
$17.4K
Yr 7
$18.8K
Yr 8
$20.3K
Yr 9
$22.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LEA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LEA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
LEA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.77%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $116.9H $118.4L $116.9C $118.4VOL 737.1K
RES: $121.2SUP: $112.5SMA50: $121.9SMA200: $128.4
$152.9$142.2$131.4$120.7$109.9RES $121.2SUP $112.5$118.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ LEA Butterfly Map β†’ + Track LEA β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #458 of 1011 βš”οΈ MOD vs LEA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LEA vs. MOD, GNTX, GTX, ALV)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lear Corporation (LEA) ranks #458 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #244 by equity capitalization ($5.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GNTX leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while GTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.2% ROIC and 20.4% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with LEA at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LEA ACTIVE
Lear Corporation
D+ 55/100 13.3x 6.5% 8.8% +0.90% $5.79B Benchmark Subject
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
D+ 54/100 60.8x 23.0% 17.0% -6.51% $7.38B /mod-vs-lea β†’
GNTX
Gentex Corporation
C+ 66/100 11.1x 34.2% 14.8% -1.92% $4.27B /gntx-vs-lea β†’
GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
C- 61/100 13.5x 20.4% 69.2% -6.98% $4.19B /gtx-vs-lea β†’
ALV
Autoliv Inc.
C+ 69/100 11.5x 19.2% 23.2% +0.50% $8.42B /alv-vs-lea β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000842162

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lear Corporation (LEA) reported GAAP revenue of $23.26B (-0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.31B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $436.8M, operating cash flow of $1.09B, and free cash flow of $527.2M (-6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEA closed FY2025 with $14.84B in total assets against $3.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.97, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $23.26B $436.8M $1.09B $527.2M $14.84B $3.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $23.31B $506.6M $1.12B $561.4M $14.03B $3.28B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $23.47B $572.5M $1.25B $193.3M $28.16B $6.59B

3. LEA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lear Corporation (NYSE: LEA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $118.44 (+0.90% 1D, market cap $5.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LEA ranks #458 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LEA compare to MOD and GNTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LEA carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.3x, gross margin of 6.5%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, MOD (Modine Manufacturing Company) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 60.8x, ROIC 17.0%, cap $7.38B) and GNTX (Gentex Corporation) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEA?

Per LEA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000842162), Lear Corporation generated $23.26B in revenue (-0.2% YoY), $436.8M in net income, and $527.2M in free cash flow against $14.84B in total assets and $3.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LEA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEA last traded at $118.44 (+0.90% on volume of 841,335 shares), positioning the stock -2.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($121.86) and -7.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($128.40). Across its 52-week range of $99.00 to $150.33, LEA sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.4% ($113.23 to $123.65).

LEA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does LEA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Lear Corporation (LEA) offers a 2.85% cash dividend yield ($3.38 annualized) and 4.65% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: LEA RQD Cockpit LEA 12M Forecast LEA Earnings & Move LEA Dividends & DRIP LEA Insiders & 13F LEA Whale Options LEA Profit Sankey LEA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LEA β€” Lear Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LEA scores 55 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 8.8%; FCF yield 9.11%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.04; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 2.97; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.59). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which is the highest-scoring component, and the weakest is macro regime fit at 6/20. The cash-yield pillar supports a constructive reading on cash generation, while the low whale-flow and macro-fit scores pull the overall rating down. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the 9.11% FCF yield and the insider flow signal; the valuation tradeoff is that the thin margins (net margin 1.9%) and the weak macro fit temper the appeal. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
117.38$5.79B13.312.46.28.862.85%1.04$99 - $150.338.8%

Business

Lear Corporation (LEA) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Auto Parts: O.E.M. industry, per the SEC financials profile. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $5.8B. Not available in source data for the specific products sold, customer base, or revenue mix. Not available in source data for detailed description of how the company makes money beyond its sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$23259.1M$777.3M$436.8MN/A$527.2M$1033.0M$3473.3M
FY 2024$23306.0M$887.7M$506.6MN/A$561.4M$1052.9M$3282.4M
FY 2023$23466.9M$933.2M$572.5MN/A$193.3MN/A$6589.5M

Per the market data, gross margin is 6.5%, operating margin 3.3%, and net margin 1.9%, with ROIC of 8.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.97, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.59. Revenue was broadly flat across the three reported periods, while net income declined from $572.5M (FY 2023) to $436.8M (FY 2025). Debt was $6589.5M in FY 2023 and $3473.3M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most recent items reference LEA's Q3 2026 results. One item reports Q3 adjusted EPS of $3.71 per share versus a FactSet estimate of $3.32. Another headline reports Q3 revenue up 2% and EPS up 36% year over year. A catalyst-tagged item notes that shares fell 25%, flagged as a potential bargain. Risk watch items include the sharp price decline referenced in the news and the feed's general market-wire tagging. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products, customer concentration, and end-market mix behind the $23.3B revenue base?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $572.5M (FY 2023) to $436.8M (FY 2025), and what margin trajectory is expected?
  • What is the underlying EPS for FY 2024 and FY 2025, given that reported EPS is N/A in the financials?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is their recent trading direction?
  • What supply-chain dependencies and sector correlations would explain LEA's exposure to auto production cycles?

LEA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lear Corporation (LEA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LEA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LEA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $118.44?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LEA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LEA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $126.77 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LEA (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $117.38?

Welcome to the LEA (Lear Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $88.04 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $117.38

Pump the brakes on LEA β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LEA, but look at what you are paying: 13.3x trailing P/E with 6.5% gross margins. Unless Lear Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $150.25 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $117.38

LEA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LEA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $117.38 (52-wk range $99.00 - $150.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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