What is ALV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALV's 12-month base price target is $129.88 (range $100.61 to $153.26), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALV

ALSN (59) APTV (51) BWA (36) MOD (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Autoliv Inc. (ALV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell ALV stock right now?

Autoliv Inc. (ALV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (19.2% gross margin, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$122.70 +4.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $123.96

Autoliv Inc. (ALV) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (19.2% gross margin, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $8.46B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Autoliv Inc. (NYSE: ALV) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $122.70 (+4.39% 1D, market cap $8.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALV ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALV compare to ALSN and APTV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ALV carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of 19.2%, and ROIC of 23.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $8.92B) and APTV (Aptiv PLC) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 55.9x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $9.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALV?

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Per ALV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001034670), Autoliv Inc. generated $10.81B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $735.0M in net income, and $716.0M in free cash flow against $8.64B in total assets and $1.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (19.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $123.96 (+1.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 6.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALV SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.6% FCF Margin ($716.0M FCF) & 19.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$113.66+2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$115.94-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$115.55+6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$122.70+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ALV faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.74) or 200D SMA ($118.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($129.88) toward Bear Floor ($100.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

5530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.28>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE71% OF RANGE

L: $99$122.70H: $132

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (19.2% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: ARQD 18 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ALV

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (90)

23.2% ROIC with 19.2% gross margin and 8.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.28 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (62)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALV

✓Strong cash generator (19.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALV Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ALV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $117.0H $122.7L $117.0C $122.7VOL 1.05M

RES: $124.1SUP: $104.7SMA50: $116.7SMA200: $118.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALV Butterfly Map → + Track ALV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #128 of 1009 ⚔️ ALSN vs ALV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALV vs. ALSN, APTV, BWA, MOD)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Autoliv Inc. (ALV) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #187 by equity capitalization ($8.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALV ACTIVE Autoliv Inc.	B-	71/100	11.5x	19.2%	23.2%	+4.39%	$8.46B	Benchmark Subject
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.	C-	59/100	14.6x	48.6%	21.3%	+4.67%	$8.92B	/alsn-vs-alv →
APTV Aptiv PLC	D	51/100	55.9x	19.1%	6.2%	+0.68%	$9.12B	/aptv-vs-alv →
BWA BorgWarner Inc.	D-	36/100	39.2x	18.7%	5.5%	+0.23%	$10.37B	/bwa-vs-alv →
MOD Modine Manufacturing Company	D+	54/100	60.8x	23.0%	17.0%	-4.95%	$6.90B	/mod-vs-alv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001034670 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Autoliv Inc. (ALV) reported GAAP revenue of $10.81B (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.39B , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $735.0M, operating cash flow of $1.16B, and free cash flow of $716.0M (+49.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALV closed FY2025 with $8.64B in total assets against $1.73B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$10.81B	$735.0M	$1.16B	$716.0M	$8.64B	$1.73B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$10.39B	$646.0M	$1.06B	$480.0M	$7.80B	$1.52B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$10.47B	$488.0M	$982.0M	$510.6M	$12.57B	$2.94B

3. ALV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ALV compare to ALSN and APTV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALV?

Where is ALV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALV last traded at $122.70 (+4.39% on volume of 1,012,702 shares), positioning the stock +5.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($116.74) and +3.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($118.09). Across its 52-week range of $99.16 to $132.17, ALV sits at the 71.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($116.81 to $128.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALV RQD Cockpit ALV 12M Forecast ALV Earnings & Move ALV Dividends & DRIP ALV Insiders & 13F ALV Whale Options ALV Profit Sankey ALV News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALV — Autoliv Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Autoliv Inc. (ALV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $122.70 (+4.39% 1D, market capitalization $8.46B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 23.2%, gross margin of 19.2%, operating margin of 10.1%, and free cash flow yield of 8.50%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.11x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.28, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.67x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Autoliv Inc. (ALV) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry,. Specific product lines, customer base, and revenue model descriptions are — The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $8.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Autoliv Inc. (ALV) reported $10.81B in annual revenue (up from $10.39B in FY2024, +4.1% YoY) and $735.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.47B revenue, $488.0M net income) through FY2025, ALV scaled operating cash flow to $1.16B and free cash flow to $716.0M, backed by $8.64B in total assets against $1.73B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (19.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $99.16 – $132.17 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 11.5x trailing P/E and 6.5x EV/EBITDA against 10.1% operating margins and a 1.11x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream supplier dependencies, downstream customer dependencies, and sector correlation data are — The only sector context is the Consumer Discretionary / Auto Parts:O.E.M. Classification and the RQD macro-regime pillar (beta 1.11, elevated sector sensitivity). A prospective investor should watch for second-order effects in vehicle production volumes and OEM margin pressure, but the source does not quantify these linkages.

Key Question #1: Can ALV sustain or expand its 10.1% operating margin and 23.2% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.81B and free cash flow of $716.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.73B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALV's 10.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.11x)?

ALV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Autoliv Inc. (ALV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Autoliv Stock After Q3 Earnings: Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?