Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.00 -11.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.63

Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $7.09B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GLXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: GLXY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $16.00 (-11.75% 1D, market cap $7.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GLXY ranks #1054 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GLXY compare to SNEX and XP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GLXY carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.5%. By comparison, SNEX (StoneX Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $6.62B) and XP (XP Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNEX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLXY?
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Per GLXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001859392), Galaxy Digital Inc. generated $60.24B in revenue (+41.7% YoY), -$241.3M in net income, and -$3.03B in free cash flow against $11.35B in total assets and $3.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.63 (-2.30%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$39 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE GLXY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GLXY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GLXY SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$19.71-20% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$15.76+9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$17.18-6.9% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$16.00-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GLXY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GLXY currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.64) and Max Pain ($16.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $38.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GLXY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GLXY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE
L: $14$16.00H: $37
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GLXY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-5.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -18.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GLXY
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GLXY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GLXY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GLXY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $19.09H $19.09L $16.00C $16.00VOL 6.65M
RES: $23.73SUP: $13.80SMA50: $21.64SMA200: $24.08
$37.63$31.28$24.93$18.57$12.22RES $23.73SUP $13.80$16.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GLXY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GLXY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GLXY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GLXY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GLXY)

Financials Rank #1054 of 1096 ⚔️ SNEX vs GLXY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GLXY vs. SNEX, XP, VIRT, MKTX)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) ranks #1054 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #227 by equity capitalization ($7.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNEX leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with GLXY at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GLXY ACTIVE
Galaxy Digital Inc.
E 26/100 — — -5.5% -11.75% $7.09B Benchmark Subject
SNEX
StoneX Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 21.7x — 1.5% -3.81% $6.62B /snex-vs-glxy →
XP
XP Inc.
D 51/100 32.8x — 9.9% -5.05% $7.80B /xp-vs-glxy →
VIRT
Virtu Financial Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — 0.0% -0.83% $8.41B /virt-vs-glxy →
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
A- 82/100 23.5x — 28.4% +0.23% $5.80B /mktx-vs-glxy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001859392

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) reported GAAP revenue of $60.24B (+41.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $42.50B , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$241.3M, operating cash flow of -$316.6M, and free cash flow of -$3.03B (-43.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GLXY closed FY2025 with $11.35B in total assets against $3.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $60.24B -$241.3M -$316.6M -$3.03B $11.35B $3.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $42.50B $346.7M -$205.1M -$2.12B $7.12B $2.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $51.58B $228.5M -$4.1M -$2.33B $61.89B $14.48B

3. GLXY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GLXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: GLXY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $16.00 (-11.75% 1D, market cap $7.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GLXY ranks #1054 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GLXY compare to SNEX and XP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GLXY carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.5%. By comparison, SNEX (StoneX Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $6.62B) and XP (XP Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNEX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLXY?

Per GLXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001859392), Galaxy Digital Inc. generated $60.24B in revenue (+41.7% YoY), -$241.3M in net income, and -$3.03B in free cash flow against $11.35B in total assets and $3.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GLXY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GLXY last traded at $16.00 (-11.75% on volume of 8,255,661 shares), positioning the stock -26.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.64) and -33.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.08). Across its 52-week range of $14.19 to $36.88, GLXY sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.00 to $18.00).

GLXY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GLXY stock right now?

Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 26/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GLXY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GLXY's 12-month base price target is $13.7 (range $10.69 to $38.72), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GLXY — Galaxy Digital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GLXY scores 26 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC -5.5%; FCF yield -18%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits well below half its maximum, with the weakest readings in insider conviction and macro fit. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating system sees limited support across cash generation, insider behavior, and forensic health at the moment. The forensic balance sheet pillar, which is the strongest of the five, still reflects only moderate quality (Piotroski 3/9). Any upside case would have to rest on factors outside these pillars, and the source data does not establish one. Investors weighing valuation tradeoffs should note that the forward P/E of 29 is shown alongside negative trailing EPS of -0.62, and that the rating frames the stock as a forensic-risk avoid rather than a value candidate.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$60243.9M$-284.8M$-241.3MN/A$-3027.6M$1246.2M$3741.0M
FY 2024$42503.2M$409.1M$346.7MN/A$-2117.7M$462.1M$2216.5M
FY 2023$51577.7M$269.6M$228.5MN/A$-2325.1MN/A$14483.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose to $60243.9M in FY 2025 after a decline to $42503.2M in FY 2024, while operating and net income swung from positive in FY 2024 to negative in FY 2025. Per the market data, the operating margin is -0.5%, the net margin is -0.4%, and ROIC is -5.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating. Free cash flow was negative in all three reported periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most recent items reference Galaxy Digital Inc. across several outlets. A RISK WATCH item from TradingView reports that Morgan Stanley cut price targets for GLXY and MARA and RIOT on AI credit concerns, while noting the analyst still sees over 100% upside. A Seeking Alpha item carries the headline that the author is downgrading the stock to Sell. A Benzinga item asks why the stock surged on a Tuesday. A Yahoo Finance item reports analysts estimate a decline in earnings. Other items are general market-wire coverage. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific values of the Morgan Stanley price-target cut referenced in the news feed?
  • What is the source of the negative FCF across all three reported periods, and what drove the FY 2025 operating loss?
  • What is the composition of revenue for a $60243.9M top line in an investment banking and brokerage classification?
  • What is the reason for the FY 2023 cash entry being unavailable while debt was $14483.0M?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the whale and insider pillar readings?

GLXY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GLXY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 12h ago
META_TITLE_QUOTE

Yahoo Finance report covering Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GLXY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.00?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GLXY 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GLXY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.95 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GLXY (E • RQD 26/100) a Buy at $18.13?

Welcome to the GLXY (Galaxy Digital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 26/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.87 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $18.13

Pump the brakes on GLXY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GLXY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Galaxy Digital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.84 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $18.13

GLXY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GLXY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.13 (52-wk range $14.19 - $36.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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