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Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.59 -8.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.33

Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $6.25B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GLXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: GLXY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $14.59 (-8.81% 1D, market cap $6.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GLXY ranks #1057 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GLXY compare to SNEX and MKTX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GLXY carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.5%. By comparison, SNEX (StoneX Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $6.37B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNEX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLXY?
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Per GLXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001859392), Galaxy Digital Inc. generated $60.24B in revenue (+41.7% YoY), -$241.3M in net income, and -$3.03B in free cash flow against $11.35B in total assets and $3.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.33 (-1.78%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.9% Base Target
$39 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE GLXY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GLXY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GLXY SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$17.93-5.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$16.93+12.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$19.09-23.6% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$14.59-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GLXY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GLXY currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.46) and Max Pain ($15.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $38.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GLXY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GLXY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GLXY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.59: 685.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.69
$6,642
$-3,358 (-33.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.42
$8,513
$-1,487 (-14.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $38.72
$26,539
+$16,539 (+165.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GLXY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GLXY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GLXY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.98%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $18.13H $18.13L $14.59C $14.59VOL 8.26M
RES: $23.60SUP: $13.74SMA50: $21.46SMA200: $24.00
$37.63$31.28$24.93$18.57$12.22RES $23.60SUP $13.74$14.592026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GLXY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GLXY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GLXY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GLXY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GLXY)

Financials Rank #1057 of 1097 ⚔️ SNEX vs GLXY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GLXY vs. SNEX, MKTX, XP, BGC)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) ranks #1057 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #241 by equity capitalization ($6.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNEX leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with GLXY at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GLXY ACTIVE
Galaxy Digital Inc.
E 25/100 — — -5.5% -8.81% $6.25B Benchmark Subject
SNEX
StoneX Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 21.7x — 1.5% +2.04% $6.37B /snex-vs-glxy →
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
A- 83/100 23.5x — 28.4% +0.11% $5.82B /mktx-vs-glxy →
XP
XP Inc.
D 51/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.75% $7.41B /xp-vs-glxy →
BGC
BGC Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 36.3x — 15.1% +1.60% $5.24B /bgc-vs-glxy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001859392 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) reported GAAP revenue of $60.24B (+41.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $42.50B , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$241.3M, operating cash flow of -$316.6M, and free cash flow of -$3.03B (-43.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GLXY closed FY2025 with $11.35B in total assets against $3.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $60.24B -$241.3M -$316.6M -$3.03B $11.35B $3.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $42.50B $346.7M -$205.1M -$2.12B $7.12B $2.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $51.58B $228.5M -$4.1M -$2.33B $61.89B $14.48B

3. GLXY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GLXY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: GLXY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $14.59 (-8.81% 1D, market cap $6.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GLXY ranks #1057 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GLXY compare to SNEX and MKTX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GLXY carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.5%. By comparison, SNEX (StoneX Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $6.37B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNEX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLXY?

Per GLXY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001859392), Galaxy Digital Inc. generated $60.24B in revenue (+41.7% YoY), -$241.3M in net income, and -$3.03B in free cash flow against $11.35B in total assets and $3.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GLXY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GLXY last traded at $14.59 (-8.81% on volume of 9,089,296 shares), positioning the stock -32.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.46) and -39.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.00). Across its 52-week range of $14.19 to $36.88, GLXY sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($12.77 to $16.41).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GLXY — Galaxy Digital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $14.59 (-8.81% 1D, market capitalization $6.25B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -5.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -0.5%, and free cash flow yield of -18.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. Its market capitalization is listed at $7.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) reported $60.24B in annual revenue (up from $42.50B in FY2024, +41.7% YoY) and -$241.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($51.58B revenue, $228.5M net income) through FY2025, GLXY scaled operating cash flow to -$316.6M and free cash flow to -$3.03B, backed by $11.35B in total assets against $3.74B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -18.00% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.19 – $36.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials), GLXY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can GLXY sustain or expand its -0.5% operating margin and -5.5% ROIC against Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $60.24B and free cash flow of -$3.03B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.74B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GLXY's 29.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GLXY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GLXY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
META_TITLE_QUOTE

Yahoo Finance report covering Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GLXY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.59?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GLXY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GLXY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.00 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forward P/E of 29 and a 52-week range low of $14.19 leave room for a re-rating if the balance sheet pillar's Altman Z 2.5 holds.

Don't sleep on GLXY's setup in Financials. Forward P/E of 29 and a 52-week range low of $14.19 leave room for a re-rating if the balance sheet pillar's Altman Z 2.5 holds.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (25/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 29.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.32 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $16.00

Negative FCF in every reported period, an FCF yield of -18%, and an E-grade RQD score of 26 point to forensic risk.

Fading this rally in GLXY at $16.00. Negative FCF in every reported period, an FCF yield of -18%, and an E-grade RQD score of 26 point to forensic risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $16.00 (52-wk range $14.19–$36.10), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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