Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CPA / insiders

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Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$128.92 -1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $128.26

Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.40B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Copa Holdings S.A. (NYSE: CPA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $128.92 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $5.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPA ranks #430 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPA compare to ALK and SKYW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), CPA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and SKYW (SkyWest Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 8.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPA?

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For Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #430 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $128.26 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CPA SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 3% FCF Margin ($119.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$134.97+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$135.21-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$132.18-2.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$128.92-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, CPA faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($131.75) or 200D SMA ($133.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($127.76) toward Bear Floor ($99.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CPA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CPA Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CPA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CPA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPA)

✓Walkthrough of CPA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CPA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $129.9H $131.3L $128.9C $128.9VOL 568.3K

RES: $136.6SUP: $127.4SMA50: $131.8SMA200: $133.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CPA Butterfly Map → + Track CPA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #430 of 1011 ⚔️ ALK vs CPA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPA vs. ALK, SKYW, AAL, LTM)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) ranks #430 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #258 by equity capitalization ($5.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CPA at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CPA ACTIVE Copa Holdings S.A.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.78%	$5.40B	Benchmark Subject
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	-1.22%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-cpa →
SKYW SkyWest Inc.	C+	67/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	-14.72%	$3.75B	/skyw-vs-cpa →
AAL American Airlines Group Inc.	D+	53/100	76.3x	—	85.0%	-1.41%	$8.47B	/aal-vs-cpa →
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American	D	49/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-3.59%	$12.62B	/ltm-vs-cpa →

2. CPA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $5.40B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. CPA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CPA compare to ALK and SKYW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPA?

Where is CPA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPA last traded at $128.92 (-1.78% on volume of 335,828 shares), positioning the stock -2.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($131.75) and -3.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($133.04). Across its 52-week range of $107.44 to $160.47, CPA sits at the 40.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($121.70 to $136.14).

CPA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CPA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CPA leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: CPA RQD Cockpit CPA 12M Forecast CPA Earnings & Move CPA Dividends & DRIP CPA Insiders & 13F CPA Whale Options CPA Profit Sankey CPA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CPA — Copa Holdings S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:11Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CPA scores 56 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, and the verdict label reads "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows. Fundamental cash engine scores 12 out of 20, with ROIC at 9.9% and FCF yield at 2.21%. Whale 13F flow scores 9 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider conviction scores 12 out of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 7 out of 20, with beta at 0.96 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic balance sheet scores 16 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the weakest pillars are macro regime fit and whale flow, while the balance sheet is the strongest. The implication is that the company's financial safety appears comparatively solid, but the rating does not see strong upside drivers from institutional positioning or macro alignment. The 2.21% FCF yield alongside a trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 indicates that the valuation embeds substantial expectations relative to current cash generation. A reader should weigh whether the forensic strength justifies the valuation premium given the rating's weak fundamental and flow scores.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
131.26	$5.4B	32.8	27.6	21	4	0%	0.96	$107.44 - $160.47	9.9%

Business

Copa Holdings S.A. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry, per the profile. Not available in source data for products sold, customer base, or revenue model.

Open Questions

What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that no financial table is provided?
What analyst consensus rating and price targets exist for CPA, since no analyst data is supplied?
Which institutional holders and insiders have transacted in CPA, and in what direction, given the holders section is empty?
What specific catalysts or risks have occurred recently, since the news and catalysts section is empty?
What is the composition of the 0% gross margin figure, and does it reflect a data limitation or a reporting convention?

CPA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 4d ago

Copa Holdings (CPA) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know

In the latest trading session, Copa Holdings (CPA) closed at $131.26, marking a +1.05% move from the previous day.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

Copa Holdings (CPA) Stock May Be 26% Undervalued On Earnings

Copa Holdings has rewarded long term shareholders with strong gains, which naturally puts a spotlight on whether the current share price still lines up with what its earnings can support. With the stock now around US$132

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 7d ago

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates

JetBlue (JBLU) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -9.09% and -0.57%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 10d ago

Copa Holdings (CPA) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

In the latest trading session, Copa Holdings (CPA) closed at $131.38, marking a -2.58% move from the previous day.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 10d ago

Shares of airline companies are trading lower amid overall market weakness following weak US data.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 13d ago

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Copa, LATAM Airlines, Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion and Ryanair

Copa Holdings, LATAM Airlines, Volaris and Ryanair report September traffic growth as strong travel demand supports passenger volumes despite rising fuel and labor costs.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 18d ago

Copa Holdings (CPA) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts

Copa Holdings (CPA) concluded the recent trading session at $133.91, signifying a +2.17% move from its prior day's close.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 18d ago

Copa Holdings Announces Third Quarter Financial Results Release Schedule

PANAMA CITY, Oct. 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE: CPA) announces the following events: Earnings Release – Third Quarter 2026Date:November 18, 2026Time:After US market closeThis release will be ava

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $128.92?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $141.76 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CPA (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $131.26?

Welcome to the CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $105.01 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $131.26

Pump the brakes on CPA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CPA, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Copa Holdings S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $168.01 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $131.26

CPA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CPA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $131.26 (52-wk range $107.44 - $160.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.