Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AERO

ALGT (35) ULCC (34) SKYW (67) ALK (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.96 -1.71% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.89

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AERO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (NYSE: AERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $14.96 (-1.71% 1D, market cap $2.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AERO ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AERO compare to ALGT and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AERO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $1.99B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AERO?

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For Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #636 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.89 (-0.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AERO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AERO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.6% FCF Margin ($62.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.7) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$16.07-1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$15.89-11.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.03+6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.96-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AERO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AERO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.38) and Max Pain ($15.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AERO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AERO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

48.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE25% OF RANGE

L: $12$14.96H: $23

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AERO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (35)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AERO

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AERO)

✓Walkthrough of AERO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AERO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.08%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-11-02O $15.21H $15.22L $14.96C $14.96VOL 209.7K

RES: $16.69SUP: $14.06SMA50: $15.38SMA200: $16.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AERO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AERO Butterfly Map → + Track AERO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AERO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AERO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AERO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AERO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #636 of 1011 ⚔️ ALGT vs AERO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AERO vs. ALGT, ULCC, SKYW, ALK)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) ranks #636 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #404 by equity capitalization ($2.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with AERO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AERO ACTIVE Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D	46/100	—	—	—	-1.71%	$2.22B	Benchmark Subject
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company	D-	35/100	—	—	1.1%	-2.09%	$1.99B	/algt-vs-aero →
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.46%	$1.49B	/ulcc-vs-aero →
SKYW SkyWest Inc.	C+	67/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	-14.72%	$3.75B	/skyw-vs-aero →
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	-1.22%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-aero →

2. AERO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $2.22B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AERO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AERO compare to ALGT and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AERO?

Where is AERO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AERO last traded at $14.96 (-1.71% on volume of 256,304 shares), positioning the stock -2.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.38) and -7.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.22). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $23.05, AERO sits at the 25.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($13.37 to $16.55).

AERO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AERO stock right now?

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AERO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AERO's 12-month base price target is $14.15 (range $11.04 to $24.2), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AERO RQD Cockpit AERO 12M Forecast AERO Earnings & Move AERO Dividends & DRIP AERO Insiders & 13F AERO Whale Options AERO Profit Sankey AERO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AERO — Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:12:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AERO carries an RQD Score of 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars:

Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For an investor, this indicates the pillar contributes little to the overall score because the business is not currently generating measurable return on invested capital or free cash flow relative to price, which weakens the valuation case.
Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): The pillar assesses institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score of 7 points to limited supportive institutional flow, so the stock lacks a strong smart-money tailwind in this framework.
Insider Conviction (9 / 20): This pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A below-midpoint score indicates insider activity does not provide strong conviction support.
Macro Regime Fit (5 / 20): With a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity assessment, this is the weakest pillar. For a prospective investor, it signals that the stock's risk profile is not well aligned with the current macro regime as scored by this framework.
Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): The rating cites an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the balance sheet is a relative area of resilience, though it does not offset weak cash generation.

Taken together, the investor implication is that the upside drivers identified by this framework are limited, while the balance sheet offers some downside cushion. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data.

Business

Sector: Consumer Discretionary. Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services. Exchange: NYSE. Per the profile, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. is a NYSE-listed issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $2.2B. Product, customer, and revenue-model detail is not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are mapped and no supply-chain dependency is identified. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from source data.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
What are the trailing and forward earnings and valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA), which are currently unavailable?
What is the current analyst consensus and price-target range, and how do they compare to the $15.22 price?
Which institutional 13F holders and insiders have transacted in AERO, and in which direction?
What recent catalysts, news events, or operating developments explain the RQD Score's distribution warning?

AERO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AERO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 2d ago

3 Space Stocks Trading Up To 54% Below Fair Value

AI is drawing more attention and capital into the digital world, yet the real action for long term infrastructure lies overhead in orbit. As data, defence, and communications become more space reliant, businesses that bu

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

HWM Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Aerospace, Gas Turbine Growth

Howmet Aerospace's Q3 earnings surge 54% as aerospace and gas turbine demand fueled growth, margins expanded and the company raised 2026 guidance.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

S&P upgrades Aeromexico to ’BB-’ on resilient margins and debt reduction

Investing.com -- S&P Global Ratings raised its issuer credit rating on Grupo Aeromexico (NYSE:AERO) to 'BB-' from 'B+' on Wednesday, citing the Mexican carrier’s resilient operating profitability and disciplined balance-

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

Aeroméxico Announces S&P Global Ratings Upgrade

MEXICO CITY, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V. (“Aeromexico” or the “Company”) (BMV & NYSE: AERO) announced today that S&P Global Ratings has upgraded the Company’s global scale issuer cr

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 7d ago

'Aeromexico And Delta Announce Three New Nonstop Routes' - AJOT

https://www.ajot.com/news/aeromexico-and-delta-announce-three-new-nonstop-routes

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 9d ago

3 Space Stocks With Up To 42% Earnings Growth

Space is quietly colliding with your daily life, and the latest signal comes from reports that SpaceX aims to enter the US wireless market by tapping its Starlink satellite network. When a private rocket champion starts

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 12d ago

Grupo Aeroméxico (AERO) Can Expand Mexico City Flights After US Restrictions End

Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE:AERO) may have gained room to grow after U.S. regulators lifted Mexico U.S. flight limits. The U.S. Department of Transportation decision allows Aeromexico to increase frequencies b

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 13d ago

Grupo Aeroméxico. de (AERO) Earnings Put Its Fair Value Narrative Back In Focus

Grupo Aeroméxico. de (NYSE:AERO) just posted third quarter 2026 results, reporting revenue of US$1,619 million and net income of US$41 million, an update that refocuses attention on the airline’s profit profile. Against

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AERO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AERO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $16.44 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AERO (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $15.22?

Welcome to the AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.18 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $15.22

Pump the brakes on AERO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AERO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.48 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $15.22

AERO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AERO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.22 (52-wk range $12.26 - $23.05), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.