Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALGT

AERO (46) ULCC (34) JBLU (23) SKYW (67) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$71.34 -2.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.94

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.99B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALGT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $71.34 (-2.09% 1D, market cap $1.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALGT ranks #811 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALGT compare to AERO and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), ALGT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.22B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGT?

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Per ALGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362468), Allegiant Travel Company generated $2.32B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), -$44.7M in net income, and $75.1M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.93 (-0.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALGT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALGT SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($75.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.26 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$74.60-11.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$66.31+3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$68.59+4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$71.34-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALGT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALGT currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($75.37) and Max Pain ($74.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $129.81.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALGT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALGT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

49.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.26>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE21% OF RANGE

L: $57$71.34H: $124

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ALGT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

1.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.77% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.26 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (28)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALGT

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALGT)

✓Walkthrough of ALGT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ALGT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $72.26H $72.86L $71.34C $71.34VOL 358.6K

RES: $74.00SUP: $63.22SMA50: $75.37SMA200: $87.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALGT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALGT Butterfly Map → + Track ALGT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALGT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALGT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALGT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALGT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #811 of 1011 ⚔️ AERO vs ALGT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALGT vs. AERO, ULCC, JBLU, SKYW)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) ranks #811 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #417 by equity capitalization ($1.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ALGT at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALGT ACTIVE Allegiant Travel Company	D-	35/100	—	—	1.1%	-2.09%	$1.99B	Benchmark Subject
AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D	46/100	—	—	—	-1.71%	$2.22B	/aero-vs-algt →
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.46%	$1.49B	/ulcc-vs-algt →
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-6.56%	$1.15B	/jblu-vs-algt →
SKYW SkyWest Inc.	C+	67/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	-14.72%	$3.75B	/skyw-vs-algt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362468

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.22B , and -0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.7M, operating cash flow of $389.8M, and free cash flow of $75.1M (+96.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALGT closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $1.68B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.32B	-$44.7M	$389.8M	$75.1M	$4.21B	$1.68B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.22B	-$240.2M	$338.5M	$38.3M	$4.43B	$1.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.32B	$117.6M	$423.1M	$423.1M	—	—

3. ALGT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ALGT compare to AERO and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGT?

Where is ALGT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALGT last traded at $71.34 (-2.09% on volume of 358,421 shares), positioning the stock -5.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($75.37) and -18.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($87.45). Across its 52-week range of $57.11 to $123.63, ALGT sits at the 21.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($63.35 to $79.33).

ALGT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ALGT stock right now?

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 35/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ALGT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALGT's 12-month base price target is $63.96 (range $49.89 to $129.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALGT RQD Cockpit ALGT 12M Forecast ALGT Earnings & Move ALGT Dividends & DRIP ALGT Insiders & 13F ALGT Whale Options ALGT Profit Sankey ALGT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALGT — Allegiant Travel Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALGT scores 35 out of 100, a letter grade of D- under the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 1.1%; FCF yield 3.77%), which indicates thin capital returns relative to the capital employed; Whale 13F Flow at 6/20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the source characterizes as weak support; Insider Conviction at 8/20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; Macro Regime Fit at 3/20, with beta of 1.0 and noted sector sensitivity, the weakest pillar and a signal of vulnerability to market and sector swings; and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, reflecting an Altman Z of 1.26, a Piotroski F of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity of 1.6. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on a 3.77% FCF yield and a 52-week range that spans $57.11 to $123.63, implying the stock has already traded far below recent highs. The valuation tradeoff is that the reported EV/EBITDA of 11.5 is paired with negative net margin (-1.9%) and ROIC of 1.1%, so the market price is not supported by strong current earnings power. The forensic metrics place the balance sheet in a stressed zone, meaning equity holders carry meaningful financing and refinancing risk if operating cash generation softens. Overall, the rating frames ALGT as a higher-risk, cash-flow-dependent name in which the pillar scores point to weakness rather than a clear turnaround setup.

Business

Allegiant Travel Company is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry, per the profile. The company carries a market capitalization of $2.0B per the profile. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $2324.3M, indicating a sizable revenue base. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue mix, so the detail on how it earns money is limited to the financial figures reported.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2324.3M	$37.2M	$-44.7M	N/A	$75.1M	$172.7M	$1681.5M
FY 2024	$2217.1M	$-240.0M	$-240.2M	N/A	$38.3M	$285.9M	$1611.7M
FY 2023	$2324.4M	$221.0M	$117.6M	N/A	$423.1M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income moved from $221.0M in FY 2023 to $-240.0M in FY 2024 and returned to $37.2M in FY 2025, while net income was $-44.7M in FY 2025. Per market data, operating margin is 1.6% and net margin is -1.9%, with ROIC at 1.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, both pointing to financial stress and modest fundamental quality. Debt rose from $1611.7M to $1681.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while cash fell to $172.7M, and the reported Debt/Equity of 1.6 characterizes a leveraged posture.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Third quarter 2026 earnings call scheduled (Yahoo Finance; MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a scheduled event that is a near-term catalyst for results and guidance.
12-month price target cut to $122.43, implying 58% upside (TradingView; RISK WATCH, RED): the headline describes a target reduction; the stated upside is per the headline itself, not an independent estimate.
Stock forecasts coverage (Yahoo Finance; MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): general forecast coverage with no specific figures in the summary.
Share price and updates coverage (kalkine.ca; MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): general market-update coverage.
Estimates coverage (TradingView; MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): general estimates coverage with no specific figures in the summary.
Risk channels and responsive allocation (Stock Traders Daily; RISK WATCH, RED): flagged as a risk-watch item with no specific figures in the summary.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the reported EPS and P/E (TTM) figures, given that EPS is N/A in the financials and the P/E fields are unavailable?
What is the analyst consensus rating and how do the cited price targets compare with the current $72.86 price?
What drove the swing from FY 2024 operating loss of $-240.0M to FY 2025 operating income of $37.2M, and is it sustainable?
What are the institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings and recent transactions?
What is the company's debt maturity profile, given debt of $1681.5M against cash of $172.7M?

ALGT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALGT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COMPANY SCHEDULES THIRD QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS CALL

Yahoo Finance report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 11h ago

Allegiant Travel Company Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $122.43, Implies 58% Upside

TradingView report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 14h ago

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 17h ago

Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) Share Price, ALGT Stock News, ALGT Share Price & Updates

kalkine.ca report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 20h ago

Allegiant Travel Company Estimates – NASDAQ:ALGT

TradingView report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 23h ago

(ALGT) Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation

Stock Traders Daily report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

Allegiant Travel (ALGT) Holds Steady Near $76.43 as Traders Watch $80 Resistance - Throwback Trade

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Holds Steady Near $76 as Traders Eye the Range Midpoint - ETF Inflow Streak

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALGT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $71.34?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALGT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $64.12 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALGT (D- • RQD 35/100) a Buy at $72.86?

Welcome to the ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $59.75 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $72.86

Pump the brakes on ALGT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALGT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Allegiant Travel Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $84.52 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $72.86

ALGT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALGT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $72.86 (52-wk range $57.11 - $123.63), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.