BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$11.23 -1.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.18

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $11.23 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #234 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGC compare to MRX and MKTX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MRX (Marex Group Limited) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.77B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?
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Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.17 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$14 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE BGC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BGC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($372.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$11.64-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$11.63-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$11.37-1.2% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$11.23+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BGC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BGC faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.81) or 200D SMA ($10.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.58) toward Bear Floor ($9.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BGC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BGC.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BGC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BGC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.36%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $11.42H $11.42L $11.23C $11.23VOL 4.14M
RES: $13.02SUP: $11.10SMA50: $11.81SMA200: $10.88
$13.12$12.16$11.19$10.23$9.26RES $13.02SUP $11.10$11.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGC)

Financials Rank #234 of 1096 ⚔️ MRX vs BGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGC vs. MRX, MKTX, PIPR, GLXY)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) ranks #234 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #262 by equity capitalization ($5.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with BGC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BGC ACTIVE
BGC Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 36.3x — 15.1% -1.66% $5.24B Benchmark Subject
MRX
Marex Group Limited
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.98% $4.77B /mrx-vs-bgc →
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
A- 83/100 23.5x — 28.4% +0.23% $5.82B /mktx-vs-bgc →
PIPR
Piper Sandler Companies
C 63/100 17.3x — 18.3% -7.14% $4.51B /pipr-vs-bgc →
GLXY
Galaxy Digital Inc.
E 25/100 — — -5.5% -11.75% $6.25B /glxy-vs-bgc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094831

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+34.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.81B , and +51.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.5M, operating cash flow of $394.4M, and free cash flow of $372.9M (+30.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGC closed FY2025 with $4.41B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B $146.5M $394.4M $372.9M $4.41B $1.78B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.81B $123.2M $315.4M $285.7M $3.59B $1.34B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.61B $38.8M $405.2M $405.2M — —

3. BGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $11.23 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #234 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGC compare to MRX and MKTX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MRX (Marex Group Limited) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.77B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGC last traded at $11.23 (-1.66% on volume of 4,143,307 shares), positioning the stock -4.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.81) and +3.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.88). Across its 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89, BGC sits at the 64.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($10.51 to $11.95).

BGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BGC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BGC.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BGC — BGC Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD score is 67 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, and a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 15.1% and an FCF yield of 7%. This is the strongest pillar and the main upside driver: returns on invested capital and free-cash-flow generation are the core support for the rating.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not provide 13F holdings detail (see Analyst View section), so the investor cannot verify the mechanics behind this score from the supplied data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves, not defensive or aggressive positioning.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These are moderate readings, not signs of distress or exceptional strength.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 36.3 and the forward P/E is 30.5. Both are elevated relative to the rating's "Hold" verdict, meaning much of the expected growth is already reflected in the price. The rating's "Watch for Breakout" language signals that the stock's upside case depends on a catalyst the source data does not specify. A prospective investor should weigh the strong cash-generation pillar against a full multiple and a neutral-to-mixed signal profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2442.0M$0.0M$146.5MN/A$372.9M$851.5M$1775.7M
FY 2024$1812.6M$0.0M$123.2MN/A$285.7M$711.6M$1337.5M
FY 2023$1607.4M$0.0M$38.8MN/A$405.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1607.4M (FY 2023) to $2442.0M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $38.8M to $146.5M over the same span. Net margin is listed as 6% (per market data), while gross and operating margins are shown as 0%, which the source does not explain and should be treated with caution. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 15.1%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt rose from $1337.5M to $1775.7M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $851.5M, and the RQD rating lists Debt/Equity at 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

All six headlines in the news feed are tagged as yellow-light "market wire" items from Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St, and The Globe and Mail:

  • A headline references a "Debt Rating News" catalyst, which may bear on the balance sheet; the source does not describe the rating action.
  • Several headlines are comparative valuation pieces (versus EVR and MKTX), and one asks whether the stock is undervalued. These are commentary, not company-specific events.
  • Recurring themes are value attention and whether the stock is "pricey," consistent with the elevated P/E ratios.

Risk watch items: the debt-rating headline and rising debt balances. Proprietary signals: none are present in the butterfly graph.

Open Questions

  • What business lines generate BGC's revenue, and what drove the revenue increase from $1607.4M to $2442.0M?
  • What is the nature of the "Debt Rating News" catalyst, and how does it affect the $1775.7M debt load?
  • Why are gross and operating margins reported as 0% when net margin is 6%, and what is the correct operating profitability figure?
  • What specific 13F, options, and insider transactions underlie the whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • What catalyst would support the "Watch for Breakout" thesis, given the elevated P/E of 36.3?

BGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BGC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.23?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BGC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.33 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BGC (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $11.42?

Welcome to the BGC (BGC Group Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (36.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.57 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $11.42

Pump the brakes on BGC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BGC, but look at what you are paying: 36.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless BGC Group Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.62 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $11.42

BGC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BGC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.42 (52-wk range $8.27 - $12.89), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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