Are BGC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BGC leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Stock Ratings / Financials / BGC / insiders

MRX (59) MKTX (83) PIPR (63) GLXY (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$11.41 +1.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.42

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.24B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BGC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $11.41 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #234 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGC compare to MRX and MKTX in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MRX (Marex Group Limited) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.77B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

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Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.42 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BGC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($372.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$11.64-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$11.63-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$11.37+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C$11.41+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BGC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BGC faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.81) or 200D SMA ($10.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.77) toward Bear Floor ($9.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BGC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BGC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BGC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BGC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.97%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $11.42H $11.42L $11.23C $11.41VOL 4.14M

RES: $13.02SUP: $11.10SMA50: $11.81SMA200: $10.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGC Butterfly Map → + Track BGC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGC)

Financials Rank #234 of 1096 ⚔️ MRX vs BGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGC vs. MRX, MKTX, PIPR, GLXY)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) ranks #234 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #262 by equity capitalization ($5.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with BGC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BGC ACTIVE BGC Group Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	36.3x	—	15.1%	+1.60%	$5.24B	Benchmark Subject
MRX Marex Group Limited	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.76%	$4.77B	/mrx-vs-bgc →
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	23.5x	—	28.4%	+0.11%	$5.82B	/mktx-vs-bgc →
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies	C	63/100	17.3x	—	18.3%	+5.66%	$4.51B	/pipr-vs-bgc →
GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc.	E	25/100	—	—	-5.5%	-8.81%	$6.25B	/glxy-vs-bgc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094831

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+34.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.81B , and +51.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.5M, operating cash flow of $394.4M, and free cash flow of $372.9M (+30.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGC closed FY2025 with $4.41B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.44B	$146.5M	$394.4M	$372.9M	$4.41B	$1.78B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.81B	$123.2M	$315.4M	$285.7M	$3.59B	$1.34B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.61B	$38.8M	$405.2M	$405.2M	—	—

3. BGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BGC compare to MRX and MKTX in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

Where is BGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGC last traded at $11.41 (+1.60% on volume of 2,675,733 shares), positioning the stock -3.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.81) and +4.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.88). Across its 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89, BGC sits at the 68.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($10.68 to $12.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: BGC RQD Cockpit BGC 12M Forecast BGC Earnings & Move BGC Dividends & DRIP BGC Insiders & 13F BGC Whale Options BGC Profit Sankey BGC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BGC — BGC Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:26Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD score is 67 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, and a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout" (). The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. this reflects ROIC of 15.1% and an FCF yield of 7%. This is the strongest pillar and the main upside driver: returns on invested capital and free-cash-flow generation are the core support for the rating.
Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not provide 13F holdings detail (see Analyst View section), so the investor cannot verify the mechanics behind this score from the supplied data.
Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves, not defensive or aggressive positioning.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. this reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These are moderate readings, not signs of distress or exceptional strength.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 36.3 and the forward P/E is 30.5. Both are elevated relative to the rating's "Hold" verdict, meaning much of the expected growth is already reflected in the price. A prospective investor should weigh the strong cash-generation pillar against a full multiple and a neutral-to-mixed signal profile.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

— The profile section identifies the company as a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry, with a market capitalization of $5.3B (per the company profile).

Revenue grew from $1.61B (FY 2023) to $2.44B (FY 2025), and net income rose from $38.8M to $146.5M over the same span. Net margin is listed as 6% (per market data), while gross and operating margins are shown as 0%, which the source does not explain and should be treated with caution. ROIC is 15.1%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt rose from $1.34B to $1.78B in FY 2025 while cash rose to $851.5M, and the RQD rating lists Debt/Equity at 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong cash engine with 15.1% ROIC and 7% FCF yield, plus revenue growth from $1.61B to $2.44B over FY 2023–FY 2025. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 15.1%, FCF yield 7.00%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $8.27 – $12.89 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Trailing P/E of 36.3 and rising debt to $1.78B leave the valuation full and the balance sheet more leveraged. Investors must weigh 36.3x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials), BGC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: What business lines generate BGC's revenue, and what drove the revenue increase from $1.61B to $2.44B?
Key Question #2: What is the nature of the "Debt Rating News" catalyst, and how does it affect the $1.78B debt load?
Key Question #3: Why are gross and operating margins reported as 0% when net margin is 6%, and what is the correct operating profitability figure?

BGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BGC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

BGC Group (BGC) Stock May Offer Value As Debt Rating News Lands

Yahoo Finance report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

BGC vs. EVR: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Yahoo Finance report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

BGC Group (BGC) Draws Fresh Value Attention, Is The Stock Already Pricey?

Simply Wall St report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

2 value stocks worth your attention and 1 facing headwinds

The Globe and Mail report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is BGC Group, Inc. (BGC) Stock Undervalued Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

BGC or MKTX: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love BGC Group (BGC)

Yahoo Finance report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

How Much Upside is Left in BGC Group (BGC)? Wall Street Analysts Think 25.78%

Yahoo Finance report covering BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.15 (+26.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash engine with 15.1% ROIC and 7% FCF yield, plus revenue growth from $1.61B to $2.44B over FY 2023–FY 2025.

Long BGC at $11.23 targeting $14.15. Strong cash engine with 15.1% ROIC and 7% FCF yield, plus revenue growth from $1.61B to $2.44B over FY 2023–FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.27 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.23 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.98 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $11.23

Trailing P/E of 36.3 and rising debt to $1.78B leave the valuation full and the balance sheet more leveraged.

Fading this rally in BGC at $11.23. Trailing P/E of 36.3 and rising debt to $1.78B leave the valuation full and the balance sheet more leveraged.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $11.23 (52-wk range $8.27–$12.89), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.