Why APG Stock slipped -1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$44.34 -1.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.14

APi Group Corporation (APG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $19.46B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $44.34 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $19.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APG ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APG compare to ROL and ALLE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), APG carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.4x, gross margin of 31.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and ALLE (Allegion plc) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APG?
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Per APG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001796209), APi Group Corporation generated $7.91B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $302.0M in net income, and $663.0M in free cash flow against $8.94B in total assets and $2.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.14 (-0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$54 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
📬 FREE APG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APG SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.4% FCF Margin ($663.0M FCF) & 31.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (72.3) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$40.62-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$39.99+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$40.81+8.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$44.34+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, APG faces multiple-compression risk if 64.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.78) or 200D SMA ($41.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($45.74) toward Bear Floor ($35.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why APG Stock slipped -1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

APi Group Corporation (APG) slipped -1.51% to $44.34, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($34.87 – $49.99). Solid 31% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 64x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($34.87 – $49.99) with RSI-14 at 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.3% around $44.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 31.4% gross margin and $663.0M annual free cash flow.
Live APG Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 3d ago
What APi Group (APG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

APi Group (NYSE:APG) reported record third-quarter results, with revenue rising 22.5% year over year to $2.55 billion and organic revenue growth of 15.7%, as demand remained strong across inspection, service, monitoring

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 4d ago
APi: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — APi Group Corporation (APG) on Thursday reported third-quarter earnings of $114 million.On a per-share basis, the New Brighton, Minnesota-based company said it had net income of 24 cents.

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 5d ago
APi earnings: what to look for from APG

Safety and specialty services provider APi (NYSE:APG) will be announcing earnings results this Thursday morning. Here’s what to expect.

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APG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $41.34H $45.02L $41.34C $44.34VOL 4.74M
RES: $45.15SUP: $33.21SMA50: $39.78SMA200: $41.97
$47.56$44.31$41.06$37.81$34.56RES $45.15SUP $33.21$44.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
43.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #236 of 1011 ⚔️ ROL vs APG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APG vs. ROL, ALLE, AER, SUNB)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, APi Group Corporation (APG) ranks #236 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #101 by equity capitalization ($19.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ALLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with APG at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APG ACTIVE
APi Group Corporation
C 65/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% -1.51% $19.46B Benchmark Subject
ROL
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x — 28.5% -0.09% $16.58B /rol-vs-apg →
ALLE
Allegion plc
B+ 79/100 24.5x 45.2% 18.4% -0.33% $15.77B /alle-vs-apg →
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x — 9.2% -0.74% $24.66B /aer-vs-apg →
SUNB
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 — 96.0% 11.7% -0.82% $34.55B /sunb-vs-apg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001796209

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), APi Group Corporation (APG) reported GAAP revenue of $7.91B (+12.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.02B , and +14.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $302.0M, operating cash flow of $759.0M, and free cash flow of $663.0M (+23.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APG closed FY2025 with $8.94B in total assets against $2.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.43, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.91B $302.0M $759.0M $663.0M $8.94B $2.75B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.02B $250.0M $620.0M $536.0M $8.15B $2.75B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.93B $153.0M $514.0M $202.2M $10.70B $2.50B

3. APG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $44.34 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $19.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APG ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APG compare to ROL and ALLE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), APG carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.4x, gross margin of 31.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and ALLE (Allegion plc) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APG?

Per APG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001796209), APi Group Corporation generated $7.91B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $302.0M in net income, and $663.0M in free cash flow against $8.94B in total assets and $2.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APG last traded at $44.34 (-1.51% on volume of 3,999,028 shares), positioning the stock +11.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($39.78) and +5.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.97). Across its 52-week range of $34.87 to $49.99, APG sits at the 62.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($41.10 to $47.58).

APG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is APG stock moving today?

Why APG Stock slipped -1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 31% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 64x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APG — APi Group Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APG scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 8.3% and an FCF yield of 3.41%. For a prospective investor, these figures indicate the business generates a modest return on invested capital and a moderate free-cash return relative to the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning. Specific holder detail is not available in source data, so the score cannot be traced to named filers.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. The RQD rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in source data, so the investor cannot independently verify the direction or size of insider activity.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.06 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating the stock is expected to move roughly in line with the market and carries cyclical sensitivity without a clear defensive offset.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar is supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.43, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. This is the strongest pillar and suggests balance sheet risk is comparatively contained.

Taken together, the investor implication is a balanced profile: solid balance-sheet forensics and a reasonable cash engine are offset by a weak macro-fit score and a valuation that the market data shows as elevated (P/E TTM of 64.4 and EV/EBITDA of 33.5). Upside depends on earnings growth catching up to the current multiple; the rating itself does not signal a directional call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45.02$19.46B64.454.133.50.70%1.06$34.87 - $49.998.3%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7911.0M$554.0M$302.0MN/A$663.0M$912.0M$2754.0M
FY 2024$7018.0M$484.0M$250.0MN/A$536.0M$499.0M$2749.0M
FY 2023$6928.0M$359.0M$153.0MN/A$202.2MN/A$2504.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $6928.0M in FY 2023 to $7911.0M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $153.0M to $302.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the gross margin is 31.4%, operating margin 7%, and net margin 3.8%, with ROIC of 8.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.43 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the financials, debt was $2754.0M against cash of $912.0M at FY 2025, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.81 per the RQD rating.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the profile does not describe them?
  • Why do reported EPS figures show N/A across all three periods while the market data shows EPS (TTM) of 0.7?
  • What is the named composition of the 13F institutional holders and the SEC Form 4 insider transactions underlying the pillar scores?
  • What catalysts or earnings events are expected that could justify a forward P/E of 54.1 relative to the trailing 64.4?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which the financials mark as N/A?

APG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for APi Group Corporation (APG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 4d ago
APi: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — APi Group Corporation (APG) on Thursday reported third-quarter earnings of $114 million.On a per-share basis, the New Brighton, Minnesota-based company said it had net income of 24 cents.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $44.34?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $48.62 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APG (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $45.02?

Welcome to the APG (APi Group Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (64.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.57 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $45.02

Pump the brakes on APG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APG, but look at what you are paying: 64.4x trailing P/E with 31.4% gross margins. Unless APi Group Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.57 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $45.02

APG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.02 (52-wk range $34.87 - $49.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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