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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / APG / earnings
ROL (72) ALLE (79) AER (69) SUNB (76) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

APi Group Corporation (APG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.3% Move

$44.34 -1.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.14

APi Group Corporation (APG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $19.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $44.34 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $19.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APG ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APG compare to ROL and ALLE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), APG carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.4x, gross margin of 31.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and ALLE (Allegion plc) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APG?
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Per APG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001796209), APi Group Corporation generated $7.91B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $302.0M in net income, and $663.0M in free cash flow against $8.94B in total assets and $2.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.14 (-0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$54 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
📬 FREE APG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APG SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.4% FCF Margin ($663.0M FCF) & 31.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (72.3) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$40.62-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$39.99+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$40.81+8.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$44.34+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, APG faces multiple-compression risk if 64.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.78) or 200D SMA ($41.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($45.74) toward Bear Floor ($35.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.3% Swing Band

±$3.24 Expected Swing
$41.10 (-7.3%)Spot $44.34$47.58 (+7.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

APG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $0.70 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.7%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$7.91B$302.0M$663.0M31.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$7.02B$250.0M$536.0M31%
FY 20232023-12-31$6.93B$153.0M$202.2M31.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating APG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on APG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
APG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $41.34H $45.02L $41.34C $44.34VOL 4.74M
RES: $45.15SUP: $33.21SMA50: $39.78SMA200: $41.97
$47.56$44.31$41.06$37.81$34.56RES $45.15SUP $33.21$44.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APG Butterfly Map → + Track APG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
43.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #236 of 1011 ⚔️ ROL vs APG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APG vs. ROL, ALLE, AER, SUNB)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, APi Group Corporation (APG) ranks #236 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #101 by equity capitalization ($19.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ALLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with APG at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APG ACTIVE
APi Group Corporation
C 65/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% -1.51% $19.46B Benchmark Subject
ROL
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x — 28.5% -0.09% $16.58B /rol-vs-apg →
ALLE
Allegion plc
B+ 79/100 24.5x 45.2% 18.4% -0.33% $15.77B /alle-vs-apg →
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x — 9.2% -0.74% $24.66B /aer-vs-apg →
SUNB
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 — 96.0% 11.7% -0.82% $34.55B /sunb-vs-apg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001796209

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), APi Group Corporation (APG) reported GAAP revenue of $7.91B (+12.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.02B , and +14.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $302.0M, operating cash flow of $759.0M, and free cash flow of $663.0M (+23.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APG closed FY2025 with $8.94B in total assets against $2.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.43, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.91B $302.0M $759.0M $663.0M $8.94B $2.75B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.02B $250.0M $620.0M $536.0M $8.15B $2.75B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.93B $153.0M $514.0M $202.2M $10.70B $2.50B

3. APG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $44.34 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $19.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APG ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APG compare to ROL and ALLE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), APG carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.4x, gross margin of 31.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and ALLE (Allegion plc) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APG?

Per APG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001796209), APi Group Corporation generated $7.91B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $302.0M in net income, and $663.0M in free cash flow against $8.94B in total assets and $2.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APG last traded at $44.34 (-1.51% on volume of 3,999,028 shares), positioning the stock +11.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($39.78) and +5.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.97). Across its 52-week range of $34.87 to $49.99, APG sits at the 62.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($41.10 to $47.58).

APG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is APG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, APi Group Corporation (APG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is APG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.3% event move for APG, spanning a range between $41.1 and $47.58.

Direct Sub-Reports: APG RQD Cockpit APG 12M Forecast APG Earnings & Move APG Dividends & DRIP APG Insiders & 13F APG Whale Options APG Profit Sankey APG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APG — APi Group Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APG scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 8.3% and an FCF yield of 3.41%. For a prospective investor, these figures indicate the business generates a modest return on invested capital and a moderate free-cash return relative to the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning. Specific holder detail is not available in source data, so the score cannot be traced to named filers.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. The RQD rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in source data, so the investor cannot independently verify the direction or size of insider activity.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.06 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating the stock is expected to move roughly in line with the market and carries cyclical sensitivity without a clear defensive offset.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar is supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.43, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. This is the strongest pillar and suggests balance sheet risk is comparatively contained.

Taken together, the investor implication is a balanced profile: solid balance-sheet forensics and a reasonable cash engine are offset by a weak macro-fit score and a valuation that the market data shows as elevated (P/E TTM of 64.4 and EV/EBITDA of 33.5). Upside depends on earnings growth catching up to the current multiple; the rating itself does not signal a directional call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45.02$19.46B64.454.133.50.70%1.06$34.87 - $49.998.3%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7911.0M$554.0M$302.0MN/A$663.0M$912.0M$2754.0M
FY 2024$7018.0M$484.0M$250.0MN/A$536.0M$499.0M$2749.0M
FY 2023$6928.0M$359.0M$153.0MN/A$202.2MN/A$2504.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $6928.0M in FY 2023 to $7911.0M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $153.0M to $302.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the gross margin is 31.4%, operating margin 7%, and net margin 3.8%, with ROIC of 8.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.43 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the financials, debt was $2754.0M against cash of $912.0M at FY 2025, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.81 per the RQD rating.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the profile does not describe them?
  • Why do reported EPS figures show N/A across all three periods while the market data shows EPS (TTM) of 0.7?
  • What is the named composition of the 13F institutional holders and the SEC Form 4 insider transactions underlying the pillar scores?
  • What catalysts or earnings events are expected that could justify a forward P/E of 54.1 relative to the trailing 64.4?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which the financials mark as N/A?

APG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for APi Group Corporation (APG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 4d ago
APi: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — APi Group Corporation (APG) on Thursday reported third-quarter earnings of $114 million.On a per-share basis, the New Brighton, Minnesota-based company said it had net income of 24 cents.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $44.34?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $48.62 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APG (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $45.02?

Welcome to the APG (APi Group Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (64.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.57 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $45.02

Pump the brakes on APG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APG, but look at what you are paying: 64.4x trailing P/E with 31.4% gross margins. Unless APi Group Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.57 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $45.02

APG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.02 (52-wk range $34.87 - $49.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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