Valor Energy Incorporated (VAI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.13 -1.39% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12

Valor Energy Incorporated (VAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $31.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-03, Valor Energy Incorporated (NASDAQ: VAI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $31.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VAI ranks #795 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VAI compare to MRT and HTZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Rental/Leasing Companies), VAI carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MRT (Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $178.1M) and HTZ (Hertz Global Holdings Inc) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $684.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, R leads on earnings multiple (21.5x) while R leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VAI?
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Per VAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001711012), Valor Energy Incorporated generated $1.5M in revenue (-53.7% YoY), -$5.3M in net income, and -$1.6M in free cash flow against $5.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (-0.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (5)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE VAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY VAI SCORES 35/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 62% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 45 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$2.61-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$2.53-8.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$2.32-8.2% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$2.13-8.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D- (35)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While VAI currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.19) and Max Pain ($2.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.06.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VAIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œVAI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VAI Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VAI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VAI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VAI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of VAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +82.05%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.16H $2.16L $2.13C $2.13VOL 14.2K
RES: $3.18SUP: $2.11SMA50: $2.19SMA200: $1.54
$3.05$2.46$1.86$1.26$0.66RES $3.18SUP $2.11$2.132026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -53.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VAI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VAI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #795 of 1011 βš”οΈ MRT vs VAI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VAI vs. MRT, HTZ, CAR, R)

Industry: Rental/Leasing Companies (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valor Energy Incorporated (VAI) ranks #795 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #856 by equity capitalization ($31.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, R leads on earnings valuation at 21.5x trailing P/E, while R leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. R currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with VAI at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VAI ACTIVE
Valor Energy Incorporated
D- 35/100 β€” 13.6% -35.0% -1.39% $31.0M Benchmark Subject
MRT
Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 β€” 61.1% -35.0% -0.96% $178.1M /mrt-vs-vai β†’
HTZ
Hertz Global Holdings Inc
D- 42/100 β€” β€” β€” -1.03% $684.4M /htz-vs-vai β†’
CAR
Avis Budget Group Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.16% $3.81B /car-vs-vai β†’
R
Ryder System Inc.
C 62/100 21.5x β€” 5.7% +0.67% $10.80B /r-vs-vai β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001711012

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Valor Energy Incorporated (VAI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.5M (-53.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.3M , and -63.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.3M, operating cash flow of -$1.6M, and free cash flow of -$1.6M (-420.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, VAI closed FY2025 with $5.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $1.5M -$5.3M -$1.6M -$1.6M $5.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $3.3M -$3.7M $500.3K $499.9K $7.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $4.3M -$3.7M $7.2K $7.2K β€” β€”

3. VAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Valor Energy Incorporated (NASDAQ: VAI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $31.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VAI ranks #795 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VAI compare to MRT and HTZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Rental/Leasing Companies), VAI carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MRT (Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $178.1M) and HTZ (Hertz Global Holdings Inc) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $684.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, R leads on earnings multiple (21.5x) while R leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VAI?

Per VAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001711012), Valor Energy Incorporated generated $1.5M in revenue (-53.7% YoY), -$5.3M in net income, and -$1.6M in free cash flow against $5.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VAI last traded at $2.13 (-1.39% on volume of 14,246 shares), positioning the stock -2.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.19) and +38.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.54). Across its 52-week range of $0.83 to $2.91, VAI sits at the 62.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.86 to $2.40).

VAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are VAI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies VAI leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 35/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VAI β€” Valor Energy Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, VAI scores 35 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -5.09%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow. Whale 13F Flow scores 10/20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that is present but not strong. Insider Conviction scores 3/20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the weakest pillar in the set. Macro Regime Fit scores 9/20 with a Beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity profile that the rating treats as a moderate headwind. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 5/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), signaling financial fragility on the accounting-quality side.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the price recovering from the 52-week low and on the recent news flow around an Ohio computing-center investor deal, but the rating's pillars point to negative operating economics that a re-rating would need to overcome. The valuation tradeoff is that a $31.4M market capitalization against negative margins and negative free cash flow leaves little earnings support for the current price. Second-order risks include dependence on external financing or deal execution given the thin cash position relative to recent losses.

Business

Valor Energy Incorporated (VAI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Rental/Leasing Companies industry, per the profile section. The source data does not specify its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Reported revenue declined from $4.3M in FY 2023 to $1.5M in FY 2025, per the SEC financials. Recent news describes an investor deal tied to an Ohio computing center that could become an artificial-intelligence site, per the news wire, but the source data does not confirm the company's operating role in that arrangement.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1.5M$-2.9M$-5.3MN/A$-1.6M$3.5MN/A
FY 2024$3.3M$-2.0M$-3.7MN/A$0.5M$0.9MN/A
FY 2023$4.3M$-4.4M$-3.7MN/A$0.0MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 13.6%, while operating and net margins are both -60%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The reported figures show net losses in each of the three periods and free cash flow that turned negative in FY 2025 after being positive in FY 2024. Reported cash rose to $3.5M in FY 2025, but debt is not reported in the source data, so the full balance-sheet posture cannot be confirmed.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Four news items from Stock Titan, all with a YELLOW signal light and labeled MARKET WIRE, reference VAI's market action and institutional positioning in general terms. The most specific item reports that an Ohio computing center could become an artificial-intelligence site through Valor Energy's investor deal. A separate item cites a $3.6 million deal that could put an Ohio site on the path to an AI data center. The general summaries do not provide quantified catalysts or dates beyond the relative timestamps. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present. Risk watch items include the deal's execution status, since the source data does not describe closing or milestones.

Open Questions

  • What is VAI's core revenue-generating product or service, given the sector classification but no described operations?
  • What is the status, size, and timing of the Ohio computing-center investor deal, and how much of the $3.6 million figure flows to VAI?
  • What is total debt and interest expense, given that debt is reported as N/A across all periods?
  • Why did FY 2025 cash rise while free cash flow was negative, and what financing sources account for the difference?
  • What drove the 2025–2026 decline in revenue and what is management's stated path back to positive operating income?

VAI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Valor Energy Incorporated (VAI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to VAI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VAI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.13?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VAI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VAI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.90 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VAI (D- β€’ RQD 35/100) a Buy at $2.16?

Welcome to the VAI (Valor Energy Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Rental/Leasing Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.75 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $2.16

Pump the brakes on VAI β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VAI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 13.6% gross margins. Unless Valor Energy Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.53 (+17.1%)
Spot @ $2.16

VAI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VAI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Rental/Leasing Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.16 (52-wk range $0.83 - $2.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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