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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HTZ
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Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.95 +1.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.95

Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $684.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HTZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hertz Global Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: HTZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.95 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $684.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HTZ ranks #701 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HTZ compare to MRT and CAR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Rental/Leasing Companies), HTZ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MRT (Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $178.1M) and CAR (Avis Budget Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, R leads on earnings multiple (21.5x) while R leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HTZ?
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Per HTZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001657853), Hertz Global Holdings Inc generated $8.50B in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$747.0M in net income, and $1.63B in free cash flow against $22.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.95 (+0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 19.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$9 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HTZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HTZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HTZ SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.1% FCF Margin ($1.63B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.2) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.92+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$1.92+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$1.99-2% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$1.95-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HTZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HTZ currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.95) and Max Pain ($2.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HTZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HTZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
49.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.95H: $8
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on HTZ

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (32)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HTZ
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HTZ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HTZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HTZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.44%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.94H $1.95L $1.92C $1.95VOL 16.13M
RES: $2.45SUP: $1.73SMA50: $1.95SMA200: $3.73
$6.94$5.45$3.96$2.48$0.99RES $2.45SUP $1.73$1.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HTZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HTZ Butterfly Map → + Track HTZ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HTZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HTZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HTZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HTZ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #701 of 1011 ⚔️ MRT vs HTZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HTZ vs. MRT, CAR, R, UHAL)

Industry: Rental/Leasing Companies (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) ranks #701 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #553 by equity capitalization ($684.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, R leads on earnings valuation at 21.5x trailing P/E, while R leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. R currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HTZ at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HTZ ACTIVE
Hertz Global Holdings Inc
D- 42/100 — — — +1.56% $684.4M Benchmark Subject
MRT
Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 — 61.1% -35.0% +1.45% $178.1M /mrt-vs-htz →
CAR
Avis Budget Group Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — +3.27% $3.81B /car-vs-htz →
R
Ryder System Inc.
C 62/100 21.5x — 5.7% +1.07% $10.80B /r-vs-htz →
UHAL
U-Haul Holding Company
E 33/100 132.8x 67.6% 5.1% +3.72% $11.18B /uhal-vs-htz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001657853

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) reported GAAP revenue of $8.50B (-6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.05B , and -9.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$747.0M, operating cash flow of $1.63B, and free cash flow of $1.63B (-26.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HTZ closed FY2025 with $22.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.50B -$747.0M $1.63B $1.63B $22.31B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.05B -$2.86B $2.22B $2.22B $21.80B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.37B $616.0M $2.47B $2.47B — —

3. HTZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HTZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hertz Global Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: HTZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.95 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $684.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HTZ ranks #701 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HTZ compare to MRT and CAR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Rental/Leasing Companies), HTZ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MRT (Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $178.1M) and CAR (Avis Budget Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, R leads on earnings multiple (21.5x) while R leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HTZ?

Per HTZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001657853), Hertz Global Holdings Inc generated $8.50B in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$747.0M in net income, and $1.63B in free cash flow against $22.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HTZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HTZ last traded at $1.95 (+1.56% on volume of 15,140,550 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.95) and -47.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.73). Across its 52-week range of $1.45 to $8.18, HTZ sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.71 to $2.19).

Direct Sub-Reports: HTZ RQD Cockpit HTZ 12M Forecast HTZ Earnings & Move HTZ Dividends & DRIP HTZ Insiders & 13F HTZ Whale Options HTZ Profit Sankey HTZ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HTZ — Hertz Global Holdings Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.95 (+1.56% 1D, market capitalization $684.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under Consumer Discretionary, within the Rental/Leasing Companies industry. Revenue figures appear in the financials section, but the source does not describe how the company generates them.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) reported $8.50B in annual revenue (up from $9.05B in FY2024, -6.0% YoY) and -$747.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.37B revenue, $616.0M net income) through FY2025, HTZ scaled operating cash flow to $1.63B and free cash flow to $1.63B, backed by $22.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.45 – $8.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector and industry classifications (Consumer Discretionary; Rental/Leasing Companies) are the only structural context provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can HTZ sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Rental/Leasing Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.50B and free cash flow of $1.63B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HTZ's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HTZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HTZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HTZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.95?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HTZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HTZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.50 (+30.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $1.94 near the bottom of its $1.45–$8.18 52-week range, leaving room for a recovery if cash generation improves.

Here is why I am bullish on HTZ here at $1.92: The stock trades at $1.94 near the bottom of its $1.45–$8.18 52-week range, leaving room for a recovery if cash generation improves.. Compare HTZ's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Rental/Leasing Companies. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.82 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 42/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.92 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.79.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.44 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $1.92

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, signaling a weak cash engine and balance s

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HTZ above $1.92. ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, signaling a weak cash engine and balance sheet.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $8.18.

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