Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-02, Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $304.00 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $179.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UNP ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), UNP carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.1%. By comparison, CSX (CSX Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $96.30B) and NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 26.8x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $76.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UNP leads on earnings multiple (25.1x) while UNP leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).
Per UNP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000100885), Union Pacific Corporation generated $24.51B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $7.14B in net income, and $5.50B in free cash flow against $69.70B in total assets and $23.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.4% FCF Margin ($5.50B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.2) create a -7 pt regime headwind
Even with a 74/100 (B) score, UNP faces multiple-compression risk if 25.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($287.19) or 200D SMA ($271.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($325.89) toward Bear Floor ($249.28).
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) advanced +0.69% to $304.00, trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($216.32 – $315.99). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Is CSX a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on CSX Corporation on Astute Optics – US’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on CSX. CSX Corporation’s share were trading at around
Schneider is making a monumental shift in its intermodal operations, moving all eastern rail business from CSX to Norfolk Southern. This strategic partnership aims to unlock significant growth, enhance capacity flexibili
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UNP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UNP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #4 by equity capitalization ($179.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UNP leads on earnings valuation at 25.1x trailing P/E, while UNP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and — gross margin. UNP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNP
ACTIVE
Union Pacific Corporation | B | 74/100 | 25.1x | — | 20.1% | +0.69% | $179.42B | Benchmark Subject |
| CSX CSX Corporation | C+ | 67/100 | 33.3x | — | 17.2% | -0.48% | $96.30B | /csx-vs-unp → |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | B | 73/100 | 26.8x | — | 13.0% | +0.13% | $76.86B | /nsc-vs-unp → |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited | C | 63/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.48% | $76.84B | /cp-vs-unp → |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | C+ | 67/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -0.30% | $74.94B | /cni-vs-unp → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) reported GAAP revenue of $24.51B (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $24.25B , and +1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.14B, operating cash flow of $9.29B, and free cash flow of $5.50B (-6.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, UNP closed FY2025 with $69.70B in total assets against $23.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.31, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $24.51B | $7.14B | $9.29B | $5.50B | $69.70B | $23.05B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $24.25B | $6.75B | $9.35B | $5.89B | $67.72B | $22.87B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $24.12B | $6.38B | $8.38B | $7.29B | $98.68B | $23.09B |
As of 2026-11-02, Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $304.00 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $179.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UNP ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), UNP carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.1%. By comparison, CSX (CSX Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $96.30B) and NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 26.8x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $76.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UNP leads on earnings multiple (25.1x) while UNP leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).
Per UNP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000100885), Union Pacific Corporation generated $24.51B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $7.14B in net income, and $5.50B in free cash flow against $69.70B in total assets and $23.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
UNP last traded at $304.00 (+0.69% on volume of 2,774,145 shares), positioning the stock +5.85% above its 50-day simple moving average ($287.19) and +12.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($271.10). Across its 52-week range of $216.32 to $315.99, UNP sits at the 88.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($291.54 to $316.46).
Why UNP Stock advanced +0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, UNP scores 74 out of 100 for a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 20.1%; FCF yield 3.06%), Whale 13F Flow at 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 1.03; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 4.31; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 1.17).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is institutional flow (17/20), which the rating frames as accumulation and options positioning. The weakest pillar is macro regime fit (13/20), where the rating's own beta reading of 1.03 indicates market-like sensitivity. The cash-engine pillar carries a 3.06% FCF yield, which the source places against a P/E (TTM) of 25.1 and a forward P/E of 23.3; this implies the market is pricing a substantial premium to current cash generation, a valuation tradeoff an investor must weigh against the ROIC of 20.1%. The forensic pillar's Altman Z of 4.31 and Piotroski F of 6/9 describe a balance sheet the rating considers sound, though Debt/Equity of 1.17 signals meaningful leverage. Upside drivers implied by the data include the institutional and insider pillars; valuation and macro sensitivity are the principal offsets. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not personalized financial advice.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Railroads industry, per the profile section. The profile identifies the company as a railroad operator with a market capitalization of $179.4B. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $24510.0M, indicating the scale of the operation.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $24510.0M | $9846.0M | $7138.0M | N/A | $5499.0M | $1266.0M | $23054.0M |
| FY 2024 | $24250.0M | $9713.0M | $6747.0M | N/A | $5894.0M | $1016.0M | $22871.2M |
| FY 2023 | $24119.0M | $9082.0M | $6379.0M | N/A | $7293.6M | N/A | $23091.6M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $24119.0M (FY 2023) to $24510.0M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $6379.0M to $7138.0M over the same period. Per the market data, operating margin is 40.2%, net margin is 29.1%, and ROIC is 20.1%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.31 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 1.17 per the RQD rating. Free cash flow declined from $7293.6M (FY 2023) to $5499.0M (FY 2025) per the SEC financials.
Per the recent news section, six items are listed, all related to UNP:
The only item flagged as a catalyst is the Q3 earnings preview. The remaining items are generic market-wire coverage. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the classification as Industrials / Railroads. An investor should watch the Q3 earnings event flagged as a catalyst, but the source data does not identify the specific ripple channels through which that event would propagate.
Analyst data: NONE. The source does not provide a consensus rating. The MarketBeat headline references an average price target of $325.72, but this figure appears only in a headline and is not corroborated in the analyst data section.
Holders: NONE. No SEC Form 4 insider, 13F whale, or Congressional trade detail is provided in the holders section. The RQD rating references institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow as pillar inputs, but the underlying transactions are not itemized in source data.
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Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UNP, but look at what you are paying: 25.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Union Pacific Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UNP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $301.93 (52-wk range $216.32 - $315.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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