Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.1% Move

$16.98 -1.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.90

Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.63B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $16.98 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #873 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRIN compare to WLTH and PGY in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.65B) and PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?
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Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.90 (-0.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$20 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE TRIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRIN SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$17.07-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$15.86+3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$16.45+3.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$16.98-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRIN currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.49) and Max Pain ($17.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.1% Swing Band

±$0.70 Expected Swing
$16.28 (-4.1%)Spot $16.98$17.68 (+4.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TRIN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 43/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (43/100)Model Risk Weight (57/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$0-$535.5M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$0-$316.9M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRIN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.01%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $17.09H $17.24L $16.98C $16.98VOL 833.3K
RES: $19.77SUP: $15.64SMA50: $17.49SMA200: $16.70
$19.16$18.08$17.00$15.92$14.85RES $19.77SUP $15.64$16.982026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRIN)

Financials Rank #873 of 1096 ⚔️ WLTH vs TRIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRIN vs. WLTH, PGY, ATLC, HAPN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) ranks #873 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #469 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATLC leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while PGY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PGY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TRIN at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRIN ACTIVE
Trinity Capital Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -1.51% $1.63B Benchmark Subject
WLTH
Wealthfront Corporation
D 51/100 — — -6.8% -2.75% $1.65B /wlth-vs-trin →
PGY
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)
B+ 76/100 21.3x — 85.0% -7.59% $1.74B /pgy-vs-trin →
ATLC
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
C+ 69/100 12.3x — 19.8% -4.78% $1.49B /atlc-vs-trin →
HAPN
Happen Inc.
D- 42/100 13.6x — 9.0% -3.18% $1.85B /hapn-vs-trin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786108

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$535.5M, and free cash flow of -$535.5M (-69.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRIN closed FY2025 with $2.48B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 -$535.5M -$535.5M $2.48B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $0 -$316.9M -$316.9M $1.77B —

3. TRIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $16.98 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #873 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRIN compare to WLTH and PGY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.65B) and PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?

Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRIN last traded at $16.98 (-1.51% on volume of 744,206 shares), positioning the stock -2.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.49) and +1.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $14.13 to $18.90, TRIN sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($16.28 to $17.68).

TRIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TRIN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TRIN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.1% event move for TRIN, spanning a range between $16.28 and $17.68.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRIN — Trinity Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRIN carries an RQD Score of 43 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 5 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), indicating the weakest pillar in the rating; a prospective investor would see no reported return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield in this data set. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 11 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the insider conviction pillar scores 7 of 20 for SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the macro regime fit pillar scores 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Taken together, the rating points to limited upside drivers from cash generation and insider signals, with the balance-sheet and macro-fit pillars offering only moderate support. Any valuation tradeoff should be weighed against the absence of reported earnings-based multiples in the source data. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Trinity Capital Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Market capitalization is $1.6B per the profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-535.5M$19.1MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-316.9M$9.6MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are $0.0M in both periods, and free cash flow is negative in both years ($-316.9M in FY 2024 and $-535.5M in FY 2025). Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% and ROIC is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose from $9.6M to $19.1M across the two periods while free cash flow declined, and the balance-sheet posture is characterized by the rating as vulnerable.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged to TRIN with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines include a Stocktwits overview of market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts; a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Trinity Capital: The Dividend Is Fine, The Valuation Isn't"; a debelegger.nl stock price and analysis page; a TradingView estimates page; a MarketBeat item reporting a stock sale by Sound Income Strategies LLC; and a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Trinity Capital Is A Buy-The-Dip Opportunity." The source data does not provide the underlying content of these articles beyond headlines and summaries. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and there are no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are TRIN's reported revenue and net income figures, given that both periods show $0.0M and EPS is N/A?
  • What explains the negative free cash flow in both FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what is the composition of the reported debt figure, which is N/A in the source?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders have transacted in TRIN, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What analyst consensus and price targets exist, given that the analyst data section is empty?
  • What does the Seeking Alpha commentary on the dividend and valuation specifically argue, beyond the headlines provided?

TRIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.98?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRIN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRIN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.17 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRIN (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $17.24?

Welcome to the TRIN (Trinity Capital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.62 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $17.24

Pump the brakes on TRIN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRIN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Trinity Capital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.52 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $17.24

TRIN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRIN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.24 (52-wk range $14.13 - $18.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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