Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.98 -1.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.90

Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.63B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $16.98 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #873 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRIN compare to WLTH and PGY in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.65B) and PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?
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Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.90 (-0.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$20 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE TRIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRIN SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$17.07-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$15.86+3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$16.45+3.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$16.98-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRIN currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.49) and Max Pain ($17.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
55.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE60% OF RANGE
L: $14$16.98H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TRIN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TRIN
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRIN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.01%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $17.09H $17.24L $16.98C $16.98VOL 833.3K
RES: $19.77SUP: $15.64SMA50: $17.49SMA200: $16.70
$19.16$18.08$17.00$15.92$14.85RES $19.77SUP $15.64$16.982026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRIN)

Financials Rank #873 of 1096 ⚔️ WLTH vs TRIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRIN vs. WLTH, PGY, ATLC, HAPN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) ranks #873 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #469 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATLC leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while PGY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PGY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TRIN at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRIN ACTIVE
Trinity Capital Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -1.51% $1.63B Benchmark Subject
WLTH
Wealthfront Corporation
D 51/100 — — -6.8% -2.75% $1.65B /wlth-vs-trin →
PGY
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)
B+ 76/100 21.3x — 85.0% -7.59% $1.74B /pgy-vs-trin →
ATLC
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
C+ 69/100 12.3x — 19.8% -4.78% $1.49B /atlc-vs-trin →
HAPN
Happen Inc.
D- 42/100 13.6x — 9.0% -3.18% $1.85B /hapn-vs-trin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786108

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$535.5M, and free cash flow of -$535.5M (-69.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRIN closed FY2025 with $2.48B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 -$535.5M -$535.5M $2.48B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $0 -$316.9M -$316.9M $1.77B —

3. TRIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $16.98 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #873 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRIN compare to WLTH and PGY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.65B) and PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?

Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRIN last traded at $16.98 (-1.51% on volume of 744,206 shares), positioning the stock -2.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.49) and +1.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $14.13 to $18.90, TRIN sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($16.28 to $17.68).

TRIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TRIN stock right now?

Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TRIN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRIN's 12-month base price target is $15.83 (range $12.35 to $19.84), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRIN — Trinity Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRIN carries an RQD Score of 43 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 5 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), indicating the weakest pillar in the rating; a prospective investor would see no reported return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield in this data set. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 11 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the insider conviction pillar scores 7 of 20 for SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the macro regime fit pillar scores 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Taken together, the rating points to limited upside drivers from cash generation and insider signals, with the balance-sheet and macro-fit pillars offering only moderate support. Any valuation tradeoff should be weighed against the absence of reported earnings-based multiples in the source data. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Trinity Capital Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Market capitalization is $1.6B per the profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-535.5M$19.1MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-316.9M$9.6MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are $0.0M in both periods, and free cash flow is negative in both years ($-316.9M in FY 2024 and $-535.5M in FY 2025). Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% and ROIC is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose from $9.6M to $19.1M across the two periods while free cash flow declined, and the balance-sheet posture is characterized by the rating as vulnerable.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged to TRIN with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines include a Stocktwits overview of market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts; a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Trinity Capital: The Dividend Is Fine, The Valuation Isn't"; a debelegger.nl stock price and analysis page; a TradingView estimates page; a MarketBeat item reporting a stock sale by Sound Income Strategies LLC; and a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Trinity Capital Is A Buy-The-Dip Opportunity." The source data does not provide the underlying content of these articles beyond headlines and summaries. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and there are no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are TRIN's reported revenue and net income figures, given that both periods show $0.0M and EPS is N/A?
  • What explains the negative free cash flow in both FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what is the composition of the reported debt figure, which is N/A in the source?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders have transacted in TRIN, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What analyst consensus and price targets exist, given that the analyst data section is empty?
  • What does the Seeking Alpha commentary on the dividend and valuation specifically argue, beyond the headlines provided?

TRIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.98?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRIN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRIN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.17 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRIN (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $17.24?

Welcome to the TRIN (Trinity Capital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.62 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $17.24

Pump the brakes on TRIN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRIN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Trinity Capital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.52 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $17.24

TRIN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRIN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.24 (52-wk range $14.13 - $18.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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