Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TOST Stock advanced +0.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Toast Inc. (TOST) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TOST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Toast Inc. (NYSE: TOST) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $31.68 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $18.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TOST ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TOST compare to LDOS and WIT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TOST carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.2x, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 15.8%. By comparison, LDOS (Leidos Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 22.5%, cap $17.70B) and WIT (Wipro Limited) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $20.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LDOS leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while LDOS leads on capital efficiency (22.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOST?
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Per TOST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001650164), Toast Inc. generated $6.15B in revenue (+24.1% YoY), $342.0M in net income, and $384.1M in free cash flow against $3.15B in total assets and $459.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (26% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 53x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 13.05 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.2% FCF Margin ($384.1M FCF) & 25.9% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49) create a -9 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TOST Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, TOST faces multiple-compression risk if 53.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 53x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 23.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.85) or 200D SMA ($29.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.96) toward Bear Floor ($25.71).
Why TOST Stock advanced +0.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Toast Inc. (TOST) advanced +0.57% to $31.68, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($22.26 – $39.67). Solid 26% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 53x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($22.26 – $39.67) with RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.3% around $31.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 25.9% gross margin and $384.1M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Beyond analysts' top-and-bottom-line estimates for Toast (TOST), evaluate projections for some of its key metrics to gain a better insight into how the business might have performed for the quarter ended September 2026.
Toast has delivered a mixed share price record in recent years, and the question now is whether the current valuation lines up with the returns the business earns on its capital. With investors weighing both operational
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TOST Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TOST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +24.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TOST today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TOST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TOST)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TOST vs. LDOS, WIT, CACI, IOT)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Toast Inc. (TOST) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #114 by equity capitalization ($18.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LDOS leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while LDOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.5% ROIC and 17.7% gross margin. LDOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TOST at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOST
ACTIVE
Toast Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 53.2x | 25.9% | 15.8% | +0.57% | $18.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 12.2x | 17.7% | 22.5% | +1.39% | $17.70B | /ldos-vs-tost → |
| WIT Wipro Limited | C+ | 68/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | +2.37% | $20.90B | /wit-vs-tost → |
| CACI CACI International Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 30.0x | — | 9.1% | +0.19% | $14.98B | /caci-vs-tost → |
| IOT Samsara Inc. | C | 64/100 | — | 76.7% | -2.1% | +1.01% | $24.39B | /iot-vs-tost → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001650164In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Toast Inc. (TOST) reported GAAP revenue of $6.15B (+24.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.96B , and +59.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $342.0M, operating cash flow of $661.0M, and free cash flow of $384.1M (+180.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TOST closed FY2025 with $3.15B in total assets against $459.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.15B | $342.0M | $661.0M | $384.1M | $3.15B | $459.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.96B | $19.0M | $360.0M | $136.8M | $2.41B | $388.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.87B | -$246.0M | $135.0M | -$38.9M | $10.01B | $2.34B |
3. TOST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TOST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Toast Inc. (NYSE: TOST) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $31.68 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $18.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TOST ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TOST compare to LDOS and WIT in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TOST carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.2x, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 15.8%. By comparison, LDOS (Leidos Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 22.5%, cap $17.70B) and WIT (Wipro Limited) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $20.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LDOS leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while LDOS leads on capital efficiency (22.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOST?
Per TOST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001650164), Toast Inc. generated $6.15B in revenue (+24.1% YoY), $342.0M in net income, and $384.1M in free cash flow against $3.15B in total assets and $459.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (26% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 53x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TOST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TOST last traded at $31.68 (+0.57% on volume of 8,659,191 shares), positioning the stock -0.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.85) and +8.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($29.32). Across its 52-week range of $22.26 to $39.67, TOST sits at the 54.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($29.37 to $33.99).
TOST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TOST stock moving today?
Why TOST Stock advanced +0.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 26% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 53x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
TOST — Toast Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TOST scores 67 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15 of 20 (ROIC 15.8%; FCF yield 2.11%), Whale/13F Flow at 11 of 20, Insider Conviction at 12 of 20, Macro Regime Fit at 11 of 20 (Beta 1.14), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18 of 20 (Altman Z 13.05; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.2). The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which points to low solvency risk. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro/sector fit, which are the areas where the rating sees the least confirmation. For a prospective investor, the upside driver is the balance-sheet strength and a ROIC of 15.8%. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 53.2 and an EV/EBITDA of 32.8, and FCF yield is only 2.11%, so much of the expected growth is already priced in. The rating's "Watch for Breakout" label implies the stock needs a catalyst to move out of neutral territory. This is analytical context, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Business
Toast Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the EDP Services industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $18.2B. The source data does not describe its product set, customer base, or revenue model in detail. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $6153.0M, indicating a substantial operating base.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $6153.0M | $292.0M | $342.0M | N/A | $384.1M | $1353.0M | $459.4M |
| FY 2024 | $4960.0M | $16.0M | $19.0M | N/A | $136.8M | $903.0M | $388.4M |
| FY 2023 | $3865.0M | $-287.0M | $-246.0M | N/A | $-38.9M | N/A | $2343.2M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $3865.0M in FY 2023 to $6153.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $-287.0M to $292.0M over the same period. Per the market data, the gross margin is 25.9%, operating margin 4.7%, and net margin 5.6%, while ROIC is 15.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 13.05 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both indicating strong forensic health. Debt/Equity is 0.2 per the RQD forensic pillar, and reported debt fell from $2343.2M in FY 2023 to $459.4M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $1353.0M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all tied to TOST. Two are tagged CATALYST (green): a Yahoo Finance piece titled "Why Is Toast (TOST) Stock Soaring Today" and a Yahoo Finance piece on the stock dropping despite market gains. Four are tagged MARKET WIRE (yellow), including a StockInvest.us forecast, a Stocktwits item on a post-earnings slip, a Yahoo Finance piece on possible undervaluation tied to new AI tools, and a Yahoo Finance trending-stock piece. The headlines are mixed: they reference both a rally and a decline, and the summaries are generic and do not state specific earnings figures or deal terms. The Stocktwits headline references a post-earnings decline, which is a risk watch item. The AI-tools headline is a potential catalyst but is unverified in the source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What share of the FY 2025 revenue and profit comes from which products or customers, and how durable is that mix?
- What drove the operating income swing from $-287.0M in FY 2023 to $292.0M in FY 2025, and how much of it is repeatable?
- What is the basis of the AI-tools catalyst referenced in the news wire, and what revenue or margin effect has been quantified?
- Why are EPS values reported as N/A for all three fiscal years when TTM EPS is 0.59?
- What is the institutional (13F) and insider position, given that the RQD flow and insider pillars score 11 and 12 of 20 without supporting holder data?
TOST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Toast Inc. (TOST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Toast Inc. (TOST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TOST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $31.68?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TOST (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $31.50?
Welcome to the TOST (Toast Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in EDP Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (53.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TOST — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TOST, but look at what you are paying: 53.2x trailing P/E with 25.9% gross margins. Unless Toast Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TOST cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TOST, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $31.50 (52-wk range $22.26 - $39.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.